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Aecon Group (TSX:ARE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : C$0.11 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Aecon Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Aecon Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was C$-2.401. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is C$0.11 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Aecon Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -47.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -28.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Aecon Group was 157.10% per year. The lowest was -157.10% per year. And the median was 20.60% per year.

As of today (2024-06-10), Aecon Group's current stock price is C$16.68. Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was C$0.11. Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 151.64.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Aecon Group was 1708.00. The lowest was 19.07. And the median was 56.00.


Aecon Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aecon Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Aecon Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.17 0.62 0.48 0.31 0.23

Aecon Group Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.21 0.11 0.21 0.23 0.11

Competitive Comparison of Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Engineering & Construction subindustry, Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Aecon Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Aecon Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-2.401/126.2576*126.2576
=-2.401

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 126.2576.

Aecon Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.562 99.473 -0.713
201409 0.553 99.394 0.702
201412 1.076 98.367 1.381
201503 -1.409 99.789 -1.783
201506 0.032 100.500 0.040
201509 -0.020 100.421 -0.025
201512 1.662 99.947 2.100
201603 -1.093 101.054 -1.366
201606 -0.818 102.002 -1.013
201609 0.688 101.765 0.854
201612 1.062 101.449 1.322
201703 -0.020 102.634 -0.025
201706 -1.503 103.029 -1.842
201709 0.017 103.345 0.021
201712 1.998 103.345 2.441
201803 -0.741 105.004 -0.891
201806 2.636 105.557 3.153
201809 1.365 105.636 1.631
201812 -1.234 105.399 -1.478
201903 -0.808 106.979 -0.954
201906 -1.411 107.690 -1.654
201909 -0.939 107.611 -1.102
201912 3.105 107.769 3.638
202003 -0.731 107.927 -0.855
202006 -0.905 108.401 -1.054
202009 1.367 108.164 1.596
202012 2.065 108.559 2.402
202103 -0.879 110.298 -1.006
202106 -0.514 111.720 -0.581
202109 -0.428 112.905 -0.479
202112 0.853 113.774 0.947
202203 -2.178 117.646 -2.337
202206 0.209 120.806 0.218
202209 -0.299 120.648 -0.313
202212 0.248 120.964 0.259
202303 -1.624 122.702 -1.671
202306 -1.409 124.203 -1.432
202309 1.276 125.230 1.286
202312 2.091 125.072 2.111
202403 -2.401 126.258 -2.401

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Aecon Group  (TSX:ARE) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=16.68/0.11
=151.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Aecon Group was 1708.00. The lowest was 19.07. And the median was 56.00.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Aecon Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aecon Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aecon Group (TSX:ARE) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
20 Carlson Court, Suite 105, Toronto, ON, CAN, M9W 7K6
Aecon Group Inc is a Canada-based company that operates in two segments: Construction and Concessions. The Construction segment includes various aspects of the construction of public and private infrastructure projects, mainly in the transportation sector. Its concessions segment is engaged in the development, financing, construction, and operation of infrastructure projects. The company generates the majority of its revenue from the Construction segment.
Executives
Martina Doyle Senior Officer