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Ulta Beauty (LTS:0LIB) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $12.43 (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $20.350. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $12.43 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Ulta Beauty's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 30.60% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 31.20% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Ulta Beauty was 76.50% per year. The lowest was 30.60% per year. And the median was 39.70% per year.

As of today (2024-05-28), Ulta Beauty's current stock price is $381.80. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $12.43. Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 30.72.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ulta Beauty was 845.88. The lowest was 30.98. And the median was 92.11.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Ulta Beauty Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.50 5.73 7.42 10.08 12.43

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.08 10.57 10.82 10.64 12.43

Competitive Comparison of Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Ulta Beauty's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=20.35/130.1244*130.1244
=20.350

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 130.1244.

Ulta Beauty Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 0.535 100.023 0.696
201407 0.070 100.520 0.091
201410 -1.011 100.176 -1.313
201501 2.690 98.604 3.550
201504 0.181 99.824 0.236
201507 -0.360 100.691 -0.465
201510 -1.112 100.346 -1.442
201601 2.496 99.957 3.249
201604 1.778 100.947 2.292
201607 -0.678 101.524 -0.869
201610 -0.450 101.988 -0.574
201701 3.500 102.456 4.445
201704 1.581 103.167 1.994
201707 -1.158 103.278 -1.459
201710 -0.573 104.070 -0.716
201801 5.663 104.578 7.046
201804 3.333 105.708 4.103
201807 0.717 106.324 0.877
201810 0.657 106.695 0.801
201901 5.905 106.200 7.235
201904 3.388 107.818 4.089
201907 1.647 108.250 1.980
201910 0.351 108.577 0.421
202001 8.499 108.841 10.161
202004 -1.166 108.173 -1.403
202007 0.083 109.318 0.099
202010 3.597 109.861 4.260
202101 9.110 110.364 10.741
202104 5.261 112.673 6.076
202107 0.883 115.183 0.998
202110 -0.689 116.696 -0.768
202201 10.848 118.619 11.900
202204 6.756 121.978 7.207
202207 1.251 125.002 1.302
202210 -0.986 125.734 -1.020
202301 15.672 126.223 16.156
202304 3.866 127.992 3.930
202307 0.580 128.974 0.585
202310 -3.597 129.810 -3.606
202401 20.350 130.124 20.350

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Ulta Beauty  (LTS:0LIB) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=381.80/12.43
=30.72

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Ulta Beauty was 845.88. The lowest was 30.98. And the median was 92.11.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Ulta Beauty Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ulta Beauty's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ulta Beauty (LTS:0LIB) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1000 Remington Boulevard, Suite 120, Bolingbrook, IL, USA, 60440
With 1,355 stores at the end of fiscal 2022 and a partnership with Target, Ulta Beauty is the largest specialized beauty retailer in the U.S. The firm offers makeup (42% of 2022 sales), fragrances, skin care, and hair care products (21% of 2022 sales), and bath and body items. Ulta offers private-label products and merchandise from more than 500 vendors. It also offers salon services, including hair, makeup, skin, and brow services, in all stores. Most Ulta stores are approximately 10,000 square feet and are in suburban strip centers. Ulta was founded in 1990 and is based in Bolingbrook, Illinois.

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