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TUI AG (LSE:TUI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : £3.92 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is TUI AG Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

TUI AG's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was £1.934. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is £3.92 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, TUI AG's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -15.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -16.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -13.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of TUI AG was -3.80% per year. The lowest was -16.90% per year. And the median was -13.90% per year.

As of today (2024-06-09), TUI AG's current stock price is £5.93. TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was £3.92. TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 1.51.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of TUI AG was 9.05. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 2.82.


TUI AG Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TUI AG Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

TUI AG Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.72 10.11 4.64 3.85 3.04

TUI AG Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.79 3.45 3.04 4.43 3.92

Competitive Comparison of TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Travel Services subindustry, TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



TUI AG Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, TUI AG's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=1.934/125.0381*125.0381
=1.934

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 125.0381.

TUI AG Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 12.998 99.543 16.327
201409 5.368 99.823 6.724
201412 -6.443 99.543 -8.093
201503 1.823 99.717 2.286
201506 5.603 100.417 6.977
201509 0.835 100.417 1.040
201512 -4.934 99.717 -6.187
201603 3.175 100.017 3.969
201606 6.105 100.717 7.579
201609 -0.025 101.017 -0.031
201612 -4.392 101.217 -5.426
201703 3.595 101.417 4.432
201706 5.882 102.117 7.202
201709 0.869 102.717 1.058
201712 -5.721 102.617 -6.971
201803 7.507 102.917 9.121
201806 3.527 104.017 4.240
201809 -0.551 104.718 -0.658
201812 -6.902 104.217 -8.281
201903 3.584 104.217 4.300
201906 6.067 105.718 7.176
201909 1.765 106.018 2.082
201912 -5.650 105.818 -6.676
202003 2.799 105.718 3.311
202006 -5.290 106.618 -6.204
202009 -3.532 105.818 -4.174
202012 -2.981 105.518 -3.532
202103 -2.875 107.518 -3.343
202106 1.109 108.486 1.278
202109 3.006 109.435 3.435
202112 -2.913 110.384 -3.300
202203 3.263 113.968 3.580
202206 3.382 115.760 3.653
202209 -0.083 118.818 -0.087
202212 -5.741 119.345 -6.015
202303 3.815 122.402 3.897
202306 2.074 123.140 2.106
202309 0.669 124.195 0.674
202312 -3.045 123.773 -3.076
202403 1.934 125.038 1.934

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


TUI AG  (LSE:TUI) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=5.93/3.92
=1.51

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of TUI AG was 9.05. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 2.82.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


TUI AG Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TUI AG's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TUI AG (LSE:TUI) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Karl-Wiechert-Allee 4, Hannover, SN, DEU, 30625
TUI AG is a leisure and tourism company that operates airlines, cruises, tours, hotels, and resorts globally. The company organizes itself into six segments: Northern region, Central region, Western region, hotels and resorts, TUI Musement and cruises. Northern region principally comprises TUI's tour operators, airlines, and cruise business in the U.K., Ireland, and the Nordics. Central region includes the company's tour operators in Germany, Australia, Switzerland, and Poland, and the TUI fly airline. Western region includes TUI tour operators and airlines in Belgium and the Netherlands, and tour operators in France. The Northern, Central, and Western regions are the segments by revenue, in that order, and collectively constitute the vast majority of revenue.
Executives
Alexey A. Mordashov Supervisory Board

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