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Serco Group (LSE:SRP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : £0.09 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Serco Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Serco Group's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 was £0.326. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is £0.09 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Serco Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 125.00% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 31.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -11.10% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Serco Group was 58.70% per year. The lowest was -23.70% per year. And the median was -0.95% per year.

As of today (2024-05-26), Serco Group's current stock price is £ 1.821. Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 was £0.09. Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 20.23.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Serco Group was 47.08. The lowest was 6.50. And the median was 20.77.


Serco Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Serco Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Serco Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.09

Serco Group Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.04 - 0.04 - 0.09

Competitive Comparison of Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Specialty Business Services subindustry, Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Serco Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Serco Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the fiscal year that ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.326/130.5000*130.5000
=0.326

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 130.5000.

Serco Group Annual Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201412 0.030 99.900 0.039
201512 -0.095 100.400 -0.123
201612 -0.084 102.200 -0.107
201712 -0.046 105.000 -0.057
201812 -0.029 107.100 -0.035
201912 0.066 108.500 0.079
202012 0.174 109.400 0.208
202112 0.255 114.700 0.290
202212 0.253 125.300 0.263
202312 0.326 130.500 0.326

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Serco Group  (LSE:SRP) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=1.821/0.09
=20.23

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Serco Group was 47.08. The lowest was 6.50. And the median was 20.77.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Serco Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Serco Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Serco Group (LSE:SRP) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
16 Bartley Wood Business Park, Serco House, Bartley Way, Hook, Hampshire, GBR, RG27 9UY
Serco Group PLC helps governments and public-sector bodies deliver public services. The company generates revenue from four divisions. The U.K. & Europe local and regional government division provides hospital management welfare, business support operations, and defense services in the U.K. and Europe. The Americas division provides professional, defense, technology, and management services to U.S. and Canadian governments. The Asia-Pacific segment provides frontline services, defense, citizen services in Australia, New Zealand, and Hong Kong. The Middle East division provides transport, defense, and health services in the Middle East. The company generates most of its revenue from the U.K. & Europe division.

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