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China Tourism Group Duty Free (HKSE:01880) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : HK$1.61 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is China Tourism Group Duty Free Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Tourism Group Duty Free's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$2.534. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is HK$1.61 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, China Tourism Group Duty Free's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 39.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 17.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 22.40% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of China Tourism Group Duty Free was 36.80% per year. The lowest was 15.70% per year. And the median was 20.70% per year.

As of today (2024-06-09), China Tourism Group Duty Free's current stock price is HK$63.10. China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$1.61. China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 39.19.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of China Tourism Group Duty Free was 404.02. The lowest was 40.34. And the median was 140.30.


China Tourism Group Duty Free Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

China Tourism Group Duty Free Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 1.02 1.41

China Tourism Group Duty Free Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.33 1.24 1.46 1.41 1.61

Competitive Comparison of China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



China Tourism Group Duty Free Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, China Tourism Group Duty Free's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=2.534/115.2271*115.2271
=2.534

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 115.2271.

China Tourism Group Duty Free Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -0.194 98.200 -0.228
201409 0.272 98.900 0.317
201412 0.262 99.000 0.305
201503 0.197 99.900 0.227
201506 -0.118 99.500 -0.137
201509 0.341 100.500 0.391
201512 0.133 100.600 0.152
201603 0.517 102.200 0.583
201606 -0.012 101.400 -0.014
201609 0.444 102.400 0.500
201612 0.322 102.600 0.362
201703 0.138 103.200 0.154
201706 0.720 103.100 0.805
201709 0.453 104.100 0.501
201712 0.311 104.500 0.343
201803 1.293 105.300 1.415
201806 -0.011 104.900 -0.012
201809 0.558 106.600 0.603
201812 -1.064 106.500 -1.151
201903 1.700 107.700 1.819
201906 -0.645 107.700 -0.690
201909 0.477 109.800 0.501
201912 -0.551 111.200 -0.571
202003 -0.619 112.300 -0.635
202006 2.779 110.400 2.901
202009 1.164 111.700 1.201
202012 0.669 111.500 0.691
202103 -0.110 112.662 -0.113
202106 0.250 111.769 0.258
202109 1.176 112.215 1.208
202112 2.537 113.108 2.585
202203 -1.145 114.335 -1.154
202206 -1.734 114.558 -1.744
202209 -0.809 115.339 -0.808
202212 -0.146 115.116 -0.146
202303 3.863 115.116 3.867
202306 0.376 114.558 0.378
202309 2.258 115.339 2.256
202312 0.656 114.781 0.659
202403 2.534 115.227 2.534

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


China Tourism Group Duty Free  (HKSE:01880) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=63.10/1.61
=39.19

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of China Tourism Group Duty Free was 404.02. The lowest was 40.34. And the median was 140.30.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


China Tourism Group Duty Free Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of China Tourism Group Duty Free's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


China Tourism Group Duty Free (HKSE:01880) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No. 2A, Dongzhimenwai Street, 8th Floor, Block A, Dongcheng District, Beijing, CHN, 100027
China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp Ltd is an investment holding company. The company's segments include Retail and Property. It generates maximum revenue from the Retail segment. The Retail segment offers a comprehensive series of duty-free and duty-paid merchandise to customers in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, Cambodia, etc, through its travel retail business. It also engages sales of duty-free and duty-paid merchandise and income from provision of related services.
Executives
Jpmorgan Chase & Co. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Blackrock, Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Aggregate Of Abrdn Plc Affiliated Investment Management Entities 2102 Investment manager
Morgan Stanley 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Citigroup Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Bank Of America Corporation
The Capital Group Companies, Inc. 2201 Interest of corporation controlled by you
Gic Private Limited 2102 Investment manager
Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. 2502 Approved lending agent

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