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Mesa Air Group (FRA:M2A) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €1.14 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Mesa Air Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mesa Air Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was €-0.330. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €1.14 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Mesa Air Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 35.30% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Mesa Air Group was 35.30% per year. The lowest was -58.70% per year. And the median was -14.50% per year.

As of today (2024-06-06), Mesa Air Group's current stock price is €0.77. Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was €1.14. Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 0.68.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mesa Air Group was 37.21. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 3.31.


Mesa Air Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Mesa Air Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Mesa Air Group Annual Data
Trend Sep07 Sep08 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -0.19 0.40 0.70 1.18 1.16

Mesa Air Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.86 0.87 1.06 1.16 1.14

Competitive Comparison of Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Airlines subindustry, Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Mesa Air Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Mesa Air Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=-0.33/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.330

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Mesa Air Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
200612 0.806 85.142 1.225
200703 -0.209 86.640 -0.312
200706 0.446 87.906 0.657
200709 0.396 87.964 0.583
200712 2.018 88.616 2.947
200803 0.045 90.090 0.065
200806 -1.433 92.320 -2.009
200809 0.295 92.307 0.414
200812 0.084 88.697 0.123
200903 0.036 89.744 0.052
200906 -0.061 91.003 -0.087
201609 0.000 101.861 0.000
201703 0.000 102.862 0.000
201706 0.000 103.349 0.000
201709 0.000 104.136 0.000
201712 0.638 104.011 0.794
201803 0.221 105.290 0.272
201806 -2.283 106.317 -2.779
201809 1.105 106.507 1.343
201812 0.453 105.998 0.553
201903 0.256 107.251 0.309
201906 -0.778 108.070 -0.932
201909 0.750 108.329 0.896
201912 0.650 108.420 0.776
202003 0.386 108.902 0.459
202006 0.956 108.767 1.138
202009 1.664 109.815 1.961
202012 1.738 109.897 2.047
202103 -0.237 111.754 -0.274
202106 0.991 114.631 1.119
202109 -0.090 115.734 -0.101
202112 -0.541 117.630 -0.595
202203 0.054 121.301 0.058
202206 -0.177 125.017 -0.183
202209 -0.235 125.227 -0.243
202212 -0.591 125.222 -0.611
202303 -0.243 127.348 -0.247
202306 -0.279 128.729 -0.280
202309 -0.350 129.860 -0.349
202312 -0.330 129.419 -0.330

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Mesa Air Group  (FRA:M2A) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=0.77/1.14
=0.68

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Mesa Air Group was 37.21. The lowest was 0.39. And the median was 3.31.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Mesa Air Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Mesa Air Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Mesa Air Group (FRA:M2A) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
410 North 44th Street, Suite 700, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85008
Mesa Air Group Inc is a regional air carrier providing scheduled passenger service. It provides scheduled passenger service to 129 cities in the District of Columbia, the Bahamas, and Mexico, as well as cargo services out of Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport. Flights are operated as American Eagle, United Express, or DHL Express flights to the terms of capacity purchase agreements with American and United and a flight services agreement with DHL. The business has a presence in domestic hubs and cities, including Dallas, Houston, Phoenix, and Washington-Dulles.

Mesa Air Group (FRA:M2A) Headlines

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