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Canadian National Railway Co (FRA:CY2) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : €3.20 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Canadian National Railway Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian National Railway Co's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was €0.573. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is €3.20 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Canadian National Railway Co's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 9.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 15.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 14.20% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 13.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Canadian National Railway Co was 15.70% per year. The lowest was 7.80% per year. And the median was 11.25% per year.

As of today (2024-05-22), Canadian National Railway Co's current stock price is €117.10. Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was €3.20. Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 36.59.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canadian National Railway Co was 57.32. The lowest was 32.74. And the median was 45.79.


Canadian National Railway Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Canadian National Railway Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Canadian National Railway Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.86 1.91 2.43 2.88 3.16

Canadian National Railway Co Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.90 3.04 3.10 3.16 3.20

Competitive Comparison of Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Railroads subindustry, Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Canadian National Railway Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Canadian National Railway Co's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=0.573/126.2576*126.2576
=0.573

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 126.2576.

Canadian National Railway Co Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 0.651 99.473 0.826
201409 0.608 99.394 0.772
201412 0.162 98.367 0.208
201503 0.471 99.789 0.596
201506 0.485 100.500 0.609
201509 0.599 100.421 0.753
201512 0.547 99.947 0.691
201603 0.513 101.054 0.641
201606 0.530 102.002 0.656
201609 0.524 101.765 0.650
201612 0.657 101.449 0.818
201703 0.786 102.634 0.967
201706 0.731 103.029 0.896
201709 0.617 103.345 0.754
201712 0.416 103.345 0.508
201803 0.278 105.004 0.334
201806 0.743 105.557 0.889
201809 0.502 105.636 0.600
201812 0.584 105.399 0.700
201903 0.267 106.979 0.315
201906 0.490 107.690 0.574
201909 0.695 107.611 0.815
201912 0.476 107.769 0.558
202003 0.524 107.927 0.613
202006 0.960 108.401 1.118
202009 0.476 108.164 0.556
202012 1.038 108.559 1.207
202103 0.506 110.298 0.579
202106 0.713 111.720 0.806
202109 1.532 112.905 1.713
202112 1.146 113.774 1.272
202203 0.196 117.646 0.210
202206 1.075 120.806 1.124
202209 1.514 120.648 1.584
202212 1.388 120.964 1.449
202303 0.605 122.702 0.623
202306 1.163 124.203 1.182
202309 0.628 125.230 0.633
202312 1.561 125.072 1.576
202403 0.573 126.258 0.573

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Canadian National Railway Co  (FRA:CY2) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=117.10/3.2
=36.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Canadian National Railway Co was 57.32. The lowest was 32.74. And the median was 45.79.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Canadian National Railway Co Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Canadian National Railway Co's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Canadian National Railway Co (FRA:CY2) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
935 de La Gauchetiere Street West, Montreal, QC, CAN, H3B 2M9
Canadian National's railway spans Canada from coast to coast and extends through Chicago to the Gulf of Mexico. In 2022, CN generated roughly CAD 17.1 billion in revenue by hauling intermodal containers (29% of consolidated revenue), petroleum and chemicals (19%), grain and fertilizers (16%), forest products (12%), metals and mining (11%), automotive shipments (5%), and coal (5%). Other items constitute the remaining revenue.

Canadian National Railway Co (FRA:CY2) Headlines

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