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Philip Morris International (BSP:PHMO34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : R$15.59 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Philip Morris International's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$-0.282. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$15.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Philip Morris International's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 0.20% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 4.70% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Philip Morris International was 5.80% per year. The lowest was 4.00% per year. And the median was 4.90% per year.

As of today (2024-05-08), Philip Morris International's current stock price is R$247.12. Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$15.59. Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 15.85.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Philip Morris International was 26.60. The lowest was 11.38. And the median was 16.49.


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Philip Morris International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.06 14.00 16.32 16.64 15.02

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 15.57 14.97 15.82 15.02 15.59

Competitive Comparison of Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Tobacco subindustry, Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Tobacco Products Industry

For the Tobacco Products industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Philip Morris International's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=-0.282/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.282

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Philip Morris International Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 1.746 100.560 2.247
201409 2.000 100.428 2.577
201412 0.856 99.070 1.118
201503 -0.586 99.621 -0.761
201506 3.480 100.684 4.473
201509 3.112 100.392 4.012
201512 1.939 99.792 2.515
201603 0.282 100.470 0.363
201606 2.340 101.688 2.978
201609 2.976 101.861 3.781
201612 1.850 101.863 2.350
201703 0.555 102.862 0.698
201706 3.138 103.349 3.930
201709 1.497 104.136 1.860
201712 2.512 104.011 3.126
201803 1.071 105.290 1.316
201806 4.346 106.317 5.290
201809 1.790 106.507 2.175
201812 2.607 105.998 3.183
201903 1.132 107.251 1.366
201906 4.044 108.070 4.843
201909 2.501 108.329 2.988
201912 4.178 108.420 4.987
202003 1.476 108.902 1.754
202006 2.972 108.767 3.536
202009 6.000 109.815 7.071
202012 4.980 109.897 5.865
202103 0.462 111.754 0.535
202106 5.644 114.631 6.372
202109 6.291 115.734 7.035
202112 6.793 117.630 7.474
202203 1.425 121.301 1.520
202206 5.326 125.017 5.514
202209 4.757 125.227 4.916
202212 4.640 125.222 4.796
202303 -2.069 127.348 -2.103
202306 4.816 128.729 4.842
202309 4.837 129.860 4.821
202312 4.718 129.419 4.718
202403 -0.282 129.419 -0.282

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Philip Morris International  (BSP:PHMO34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=247.12/15.59
=15.85

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Philip Morris International was 26.60. The lowest was 11.38. And the median was 16.49.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Philip Morris International Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Philip Morris International's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Philip Morris International (BSP:PHMO34) Business Description

Address
677 Washington Boulevard, Suite 1100, Stamford, Connecticut, New York, NY, USA, 06901
Philip Morris International is an international tobacco company with a product portfolio primarily consisting of cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heat-not-burn, vapor and oral nicotine products, which are sold in markets outside the United States. The company diversified away from cigarettes with the 2022 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches, primarily in the U.S. and Scandinavia. It diversified away from nicotine products with the acquisition of Vectura, a provider of innovative inhaled drug delivery solutions, in 2021.

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