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Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : R$48.69 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was R$13.027. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is R$48.69 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Marathon Petroleum's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 30.70% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 32.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Marathon Petroleum was 32.50% per year. The lowest was 17.30% per year. And the median was 24.90% per year.

As of today (2024-05-16), Marathon Petroleum's current stock price is R$872.97. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was R$48.69. Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 17.93.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 22.09. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.77.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Marathon Petroleum Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 20.88 26.23 34.31 48.84

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.65 41.48 49.64 48.84 48.69

Competitive Comparison of Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Marathon Petroleum's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=13.027/131.7762*131.7762
=13.027

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Marathon Petroleum Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 2.228 100.560 2.920
201409 2.856 100.428 3.747
201412 -0.662 99.070 -0.881
201503 4.583 99.621 6.062
201506 3.541 100.684 4.634
201509 4.034 100.392 5.295
201512 0.717 99.792 0.947
201603 -2.890 100.470 -3.791
201606 10.193 101.688 13.209
201609 -1.909 101.861 -2.470
201612 1.715 101.863 2.219
201703 2.939 102.862 3.765
201706 1.262 103.349 1.609
201709 7.665 104.136 9.700
201712 12.947 104.011 16.403
201803 -6.093 105.290 -7.626
201806 13.613 106.317 16.873
201809 3.000 106.507 3.712
201812 10.248 105.998 12.740
201903 2.180 107.251 2.679
201906 8.360 108.070 10.194
201909 10.892 108.329 13.249
201912 6.673 108.420 8.111
202003 -12.962 108.902 -15.685
202006 -1.652 108.767 -2.001
202009 5.707 109.815 6.848
202012 6.905 109.897 8.280
202103 1.298 111.754 1.531
202106 8.289 114.631 9.529
202109 -12.638 115.734 -14.390
202112 29.845 117.630 33.434
202203 17.680 121.301 19.207
202206 60.780 125.017 64.066
202209 19.244 125.227 20.251
202212 40.977 125.222 43.122
202303 41.948 127.348 43.407
202306 40.579 128.729 41.540
202309 56.533 129.860 57.367
202312 7.702 129.419 7.842
202403 13.027 131.776 13.027

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Marathon Petroleum  (BSP:M1PC34) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=872.97/48.69
=17.93

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Marathon Petroleum was 22.09. The lowest was 4.35. And the median was 14.77.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Marathon Petroleum Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Marathon Petroleum's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Marathon Petroleum (BSP:M1PC34) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
539 South Main Street, Findlay, OH, USA, 45840-3229
Marathon Petroleum is an independent refiner with 13 refineries in the midcontinent, West Coast, and Gulf Coast of the United States with total throughput capacity of 2.9 million barrels per day. Its Dickinson, North Dakota, facility produces 184 million gallons a year of renewable diesel. Its Martinez, California, facility will have the ability to produce 730 million gallons a year of renewable diesel once converted. The firm also owns and operates midstream assets primarily through its listed master limited partnership, MPLX.

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