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Arch Resources (Arch Resources) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $8.59 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Arch Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Arch Resources's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was $4.409. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $8.59 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Arch Resources's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 103.60% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Arch Resources was 57.50% per year. The lowest was -31.40% per year. And the median was 0.90% per year.

As of today (2024-05-21), Arch Resources's current stock price is $168.99. Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was $8.59. Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.67.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Arch Resources was 134.52. The lowest was 8.51. And the median was 29.31.


Arch Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Arch Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Arch Resources Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.21 -0.84 -1.77 3.56 7.67

Arch Resources Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.22 5.71 5.73 7.67 8.59

Competitive Comparison of Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Coking Coal subindustry, Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Arch Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Arch Resources's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=4.409/131.7762*131.7762
=4.409

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 131.7762.

Arch Resources Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201406 -5.754 100.560 -7.540
201409 2.691 100.428 3.531
201412 -3.198 99.070 -4.254
201503 -1.287 99.621 -1.702
201506 -9.299 100.684 -12.171
201509 1.437 100.392 1.886
201512 1.197 99.792 1.581
201603 -0.756 100.470 -0.992
201606 -5.566 101.688 -7.213
201609 0.969 101.861 1.254
201612 2.706 101.863 3.501
201703 4.704 102.862 6.026
201706 2.398 103.349 3.058
201709 3.602 104.136 4.558
201712 2.927 104.011 3.708
201803 2.622 105.290 3.282
201806 2.732 106.317 3.386
201809 4.702 106.507 5.818
201812 5.788 105.998 7.196
201903 2.461 107.251 3.024
201906 5.126 108.070 6.250
201909 3.474 108.329 4.226
201912 -2.717 108.420 -3.302
202003 -6.591 108.902 -7.975
202006 -1.583 108.767 -1.918
202009 -1.794 109.815 -2.153
202012 -4.943 109.897 -5.927
202103 -4.654 111.754 -5.488
202106 -3.094 114.631 -3.557
202109 0.073 115.734 0.083
202112 5.960 117.630 6.677
202203 12.724 121.301 13.823
202206 11.018 125.017 11.614
202209 19.736 125.227 20.768
202212 5.716 125.222 6.015
202303 4.825 127.348 4.993
202306 7.823 128.729 8.008
202309 4.592 129.860 4.660
202312 6.685 129.419 6.807
202403 4.409 131.776 4.409

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Arch Resources  (NYSE:ARCH) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=168.99/8.59
=19.67

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Arch Resources was 134.52. The lowest was 8.51. And the median was 29.31.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Arch Resources Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Arch Resources's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Arch Resources (Arch Resources) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1 CityPlace Drive, Suite 300, Saint Louis, MO, USA, 63141
Arch Resources Inc is a producer of metallurgical and coking coal. The company sells its coal to power plants, steel mills, and industrial facilities. Its operating segment includes Metallurgical (MET) and Thermal. It generates maximum revenue from the Metallurgical (MET) segment. Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Asia.
Executives
Rosemary L Klein officer: Sr. VP, General Counsel & Sec 575 MARYVILLE CENTRE DRIVE, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Paul T. Demzik officer: Chief Commercial Officer ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
John A. Ziegler officer: Chief Commercial Officer ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Deck Slone officer: Sr. VP - Strategy & Public Pol ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Matthew C. Giljum officer: Sr. VP and CFO C/O ARCH COAL, INC., ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Pamela R Butcher director P. O. BOX 116, ELK RAPIDS MI 49629
John W Lorson officer: Controller CITYPLACE ONE SUITE 300, ARCH MINERAL CORP, CREVE COEUR MO 63141
Bartels Patrick J Jr director C/O WCI COMMUNITIES, INC., 24301 WALDEN CENTER DRIVE, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
James N Chapman director 14 ALPINE ROAD, GREENWICH CT 06830
Peifang Zhang director 21640 E. BRIARWOOD DR., AURORA CO 80016
Robert B. Hamill director ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
Holly K Koeppel director 401 NORTH MAIN STREET, WINSTON-SALEM NC 27101
Paul A Lang officer: President & COO ONE CITYPLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
John T. Drexler officer: Sr. V.P. and CFO ONE CITY PLACE DRIVE, SUITE 300, ST. LOUIS MO 63141
John W Eaves director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1 CITYPLACE ONE STE 300, ST LOUIS MO 63141