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ZeroFox Holdings (ZeroFox Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 36.91% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is ZeroFox Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, ZeroFox Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 36.91%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of ZeroFox Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, ZeroFox Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


ZeroFox Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, ZeroFox Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where ZeroFox Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



ZeroFox Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-0.54

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=36.91%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


ZeroFox Holdings  (NAS:ZFOX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


ZeroFox Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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ZeroFox Holdings (ZeroFox Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » ZeroFox Holdings Inc (NAS:ZFOX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1834 South Charles Street, Baltimore, MD, USA, 21230
ZeroFox Holdings Inc is a cybersecurity company. It provides external threat intelligence and protection to disrupt threats to brands, people, assets and data across the public attack surface in one, comprehensive platform. With complete global coverage across the surface, deep and dark web and an artificial intelligence-based analysis engine, the ZeroFox Platform identifies and remediates targeted phishing attacks, credential compromise, data exfiltration, brand hijacking, executive and location threats and more.
Executives
James Christopher Foster director, officer: See Remarks 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 21230
Prestridge Iii John R officer: Chief Marketing Officer 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 21230
Michael Morgan Price officer: Chief Technology Officer 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 21230
Kevin T Reardon officer: Chief Operating Officer 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 21230
Scott O'rourke officer: Chief Revenue Officer 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 21230
Thomas P Fitzgerald officer: See Remarks 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 21230
Timothy S Bender officer: See Remarks 1834 S. CHARLES ST., BALTIMORE MD 10020
Barbara Lynn Stewart director 5798 ANEGADA DRIVE, NAPLES FL 34113
Teresa H Shea director 105 N. OAKLAND STREET, ARLINGTON VA 22203
Paul Hooper director 3585 MONROE STREET, SANTA CLARA CA 95051
Louis Sean Cunningham director C/O FORGEPOINT, 400 S. EL CAMINO REAL, SUITE 1050, SAN MATEO CA 94402
Peter J Barris director 1119 ST PAUL STREET, BALTIMORE MD 21202
Mulloy Corey director 598 GIBRALTAR DRIVE, MILPITAS CA 95035
Adam Gerchen director C/O L&F ACQUISITION CORP., 150 NORTH RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 5200, CHICAGO IL 60606
Highland Entrepreneurs' Fund 9 Limited Partnership 10 percent owner ONE BROADWAY, 16TH FLOOR, CAMBRIDGE MA 02142