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Vivic (VIVC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.58% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Vivic Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Vivic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.58%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Vivic's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Recreational Vehicles subindustry, Vivic's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vivic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Vivic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vivic's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Vivic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-5.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.58%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Vivic  (OTCPK:VIVC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Vivic Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Vivic (VIVC) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
187 E. Warm Spring Road, PMB No. B450, Las Vegas, NV, USA, 89119
Vivic Corp is engaged in the research and development of yacht manufacturing using new energy-saving technology. The company also working on the operation of a new type of marine tourism.
Executives
Cheng-hsing Hsu director, officer: CFO NO. 97, YUNONG 3 ST.,, EASTERN DIST., TAINAN F5 701
Cheng-lung Soong director, officer: Secretary 10F, NO. 59, LN. 112, JIHU RD.,, ZHONGSHAN DIST., TAIPEI F5 104
Huilan Chen director 1091 RISING MOON TRAIL, SNELLVILLE GA 30078
Go Right Holdings Ltd. 10 percent owner NO. 7, ALY. 1, LN. 143 SEC. 2 LIN-AN RD., NORTH DIST., TAINAN F5 704
Kung Hwang Liu Shiang director NO. 7, ALY. 1, LN. 143 SEC. 2 LIN-AN RD., NORTH DIST., TAINAN F5 704
Honetech Inc. 10 percent owner NO. 196, FUSHOU ST., XINZHUANG DIST., NEW TAIPEI F5 242
Yun-kuang Kung officer: CEO NO. 12-1, XIAOXIMEN, NEIGHBORHOOD 14M, ZHUSHA VILLAGE, JINCHENG TOWNSHIP, KINMEN F5 893
Kuen-horng Tsai director, officer: Supervisor 3F, NO. 66, LN. 133, DONGFENG RD.,, NORTH DIST., TAINAN F5 704
Wen-chi Huang director, officer: President 2F., NO. 217, SEC. 2, TAIHU RD.,, JINHU TOWNSHIP, KINMEN F5 891