GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Industrials » Transportation » U.S. Xpress Enterprises Inc (NYSE:USX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

U.S. Xpress Enterprises (U.S. Xpress Enterprises) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of May. 05, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2018. Start your Free Trial

What is U.S. Xpress Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Trucking subindustry, U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Transportation Industry

For the Transportation industry and Industrials sector, U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



U.S. Xpress Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


U.S. Xpress Enterprises  (NYSE:USX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


U.S. Xpress Enterprises Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of U.S. Xpress Enterprises's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


U.S. Xpress Enterprises (U.S. Xpress Enterprises) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
4080 Jenkins Road, Chattanooga, TN, USA, 37421
U.S. Xpress Enterprises Inc provides transportation services throughout the United States, with a focus on the densely populated and economically diverse eastern half of the United States. The Company offers its customers a broad portfolio of services using its own asset-based truckload fleet and third-party carriers through its asset-light freight brokerage network. The Company has two reportable segments; the Truckload segment offers asset-based truckload services, including over-the-road (OTR) trucking and dedicated contract services, and the Brokerage segment is engaged in asset-light freight brokerage services, where loads are contracted to third-party carriers.
Executives
Nathan H Harwell officer: EVP, Chief Legal Off., Sec. 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Amanda R Thompson officer: EVP - People and Safety 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Justin C Harness officer: EVP - Operations 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Jason Grear officer: EVP - Accounting & Finance 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Eric A. Peterson officer: Chief Financial Off. & Treas. 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Max L. Fuller 2008 Irrevocable Trust Fbo William E. Fuller 10 percent owner 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Janice Fuller 10 percent owner, other: Co-Trustee 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Fuller Family Enterprises, Llc 10 percent owner 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
William Eric Fuller director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & CEO, other: Co-Trustee & Managing GP 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Edward Hall Braman director 3310 WEST END AVENUE, SUITE 700, NASHVILLE TN 37203
Dennis Alan Nash director 4450 BELDEN VILLAGE ST. NW #800, CANTON OH 44718
Jon Beizer director 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Jennifer Buckner director 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421
Michael L Ducker director P O BOX 813, LIBERTY CORNER NJ 07938
John C Rickel director 4080 JENKINS ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37421

U.S. Xpress Enterprises (U.S. Xpress Enterprises) Headlines

From GuruFocus

U.S. Xpress Releases Economic Forecast for First Half of 2022

By Business Wire Business Wire 02-16-2022

2 Risky Picks That Could Pay Off

By Alberto Abaterusso 12-15-2021