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US Neurosurgical Holding (US Neurosurgical Holding) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 3.35% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is US Neurosurgical Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, US Neurosurgical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 3.35%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of US Neurosurgical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, US Neurosurgical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


US Neurosurgical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, US Neurosurgical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where US Neurosurgical Holding's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



US Neurosurgical Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=3.35%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


US Neurosurgical Holding  (OTCPK:USNU) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


US Neurosurgical Holding Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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US Neurosurgical Holding (US Neurosurgical Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2400 Research Boulevard, Suite 325, Rockville, MD, USA, 20850
US Neurosurgical Holding Inc operates as a holding company in United State. It is a medical services company that partners with hospitals and physicians to operate facilities utilizing artistic and inventive technologies in medical treatment and diagnosis. It is engaged in providing medical treatment and diagnosis services that include stereotactic radiosurgery centers, utilizing gamma knife technology, and holds interests in radiological treatment facilities. The company is focusing on establishing cancer centers using intensity-modulated radiation therapy. Its gamma knife is a stereotactic radiosurgical device used to treat brain tumors and other malformations of the brain without invasive surgery.
Executives
Lawrence William St director 23 ASHLAND STREET, NEWBURYPORT MA 01950-1905
William F. Leimkuhler director 43 SALEM STRAITS RD, DARIEN CT 06820
Merriman Charles H Iii director
Alan Gold director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & Chairman 2400 RESEARCH BLVD, SUITE 325, ROCKVILLE MD 20850
Stanley S Shuman 10 percent owner C/O RIPPLEWOOD HOLDINGS LLC, ONE ROCKERFELLER PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10020
Allen & Co Inc 10 percent owner 711 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022

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