What is Goodfood Market Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Goodfood Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Goodfood Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Personal Services subindustry, Goodfood Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Goodfood Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Personal Services Industry
For the Personal Services industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Goodfood Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Goodfood Market's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Goodfood Market Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | -7.06 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.09% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Goodfood Market (TSX:FOOD) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4600 Hickmore Street, Saint-Laurent, Montreal, QC, CAN, H4T 1K2
Goodfood Market Corp is an online grocery company in Canada delivering fresh meal solutions and groceries that make it easy for members to enjoy delicious meals at home every day. The principal business activity is focused on developing and servicing the online meal kit and grocery add-on market. Goodfood members have access to products and exclusive pricing made possible by its direct-to-consumer fulfilment ecosystem that eliminates waste and retail overhead. It has a production facility and administrative offices in Montreal, with five additional facilities located in Quebec, Ontario, Alberta, and British Columbia. The Company is passionate about connecting its partner farms and suppliers to its customers' kitchens while eliminating food waste and costly retail overhead.
Executives
| Roslane Aouameur |
Senior Officer |
|
| Neil Cuggy |
10% Security Holder, Director, Director or Senior Officer of 10% Security Holder, Senior Officer |
|
| Jonathan Ferrari |
10% Security Holder, Director, Director or Senior Officer of 10% Security Holder, Senior Officer |
|
Goodfood Market (TSX:FOOD) Headlines
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