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Tekla World Healthcare Fund (Tekla World Healthcare Fund) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jun. 09, 2024)


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What is Tekla World Healthcare Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tekla World Healthcare Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tekla World Healthcare Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Tekla World Healthcare Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tekla World Healthcare Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Tekla World Healthcare Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tekla World Healthcare Fund's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tekla World Healthcare Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.63

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tekla World Healthcare Fund  (NYSE:THW) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tekla World Healthcare Fund Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Tekla World Healthcare Fund (Tekla World Healthcare Fund) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1900 Market Street, Suite 200, Philadelphia, PA, USA, 19103
Tekla World Healthcare Fund is a diversified closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to seek current income and long-term capital appreciation through investments in U.S. and non-U.S. companies engaged in the healthcare industry. The company's investment portfolio comprises investments in different sub-sectors such as pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, healthcare providers and services, real estate investment trusts, medical devices and diagnostics, and other areas.
Executives
Bill Maher director 600 WEST BROADWAY, 30TH FL., SAN DIEGO CA 92101
James Joseph O'connor other: Director of Adviser C/O ABERDEEN STANDARD INVESTMENTS, 1900 MARKET STREET, SUITE 200, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Todd Reit director C/O ABERDEEN STANDARD INVESTMENTS, 1900 MARKET STREET, SUITE 200, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Marika Tooze other: Director of Adviser C/O ABRDN, 1900 MARKET STREET, SUITE 200, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Aberdeen Standard Investments Inc. other: Adviser 1900 MARKET ST., 2ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Jaclyn Marie Matsick other: Director of Adviser C/O ABRDN, 1900 MARKET STREET, SUITE 200, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Lucia Sitar officer: VP and Chief Legal Officer 1735 MARKET STREET, 32ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Jennifer A Nichols other: Director of Adviser 1735 MARKET STREET, 37TH FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Christian Pittard officer: President ONE BOW CHURCHYARD, LONDON X0 EC4M 9HH
Megan Kennedy officer: Secretary and Vice President 1735 MARKET STREET, 32ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Sharon Ferrari officer: Treasurer and CFO 1735 MARKET STREET, 32ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Alan R Goodson officer: Vice President 1735 MARKET STREET, 32ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Joseph Andolina officer: Chief Compliance Officer & VP 1735 MARKET STREET, 32ND FLOOR, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103
Stephen Bird director 388 GREENWICH STREET, 17TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Rose Dimartino director C/O ABRDN, 1900 MARKET STREET, PHILADELPHIA PA 19103

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