GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc (NAS:TARS) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (Tarsus Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2020. Start your Free Trial

What is Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.80

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Tarsus Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:TARS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Tarsus Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Tarsus Pharmaceuticals (Tarsus Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
15440 Laguna Canyon Road, Suite 160, Irvine, CA, USA, 92618
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals Inc is a late clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. It is focused on the development and commercialization of first-in-class therapeutic candidates to provide treatment for ophthalmic conditions. The company's lead candidate TP-03 is a novel investigational eye drop to treat blepharitis caused by the infestation of Demodex mites, referred to as Demodex blepharitis.
Executives
Bobak R. Azamian director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and CEO 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Jose M. Trevejo officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O TARSUS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Andrew D. Goldberg director 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Dianne C. Whitfield officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Bryan Wahl officer: General Counsel 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Elizabeth Yeu Lin director 25651 ATLANTIC OCEAN DRIVE, LAKE FOREST CA 92630
Aziz Mottiwala officer: Chief Commercial Officer 233 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, SUITE 280, SANTA MONICA CA 90401
Jeffrey S Farrow officer: See Remarks TWO CORPORATE DRIVE, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Leonard M. Greenstein officer: Chief Financial Officer 24562 BELGREEN PLACE, LAKE FOREST CA 92630
Seshadri Neervannan officer: Chief Operating Officer 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Mark J. Holdbrook officer: V.P., Clinical Affairs 15440 LAGUNA CANYON ROAD, SUITE 160, IRVINE CA 92618
Scott W Morrison director C/O GLOBAL BLOOD THERAPEUTICS, INC., 400 EAST JAMIE COURT SUITE 101, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Vivo Capital Fund Ix, L.p. 10 percent owner 192 LYTTON AVENUE, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Michael Ackermann director, 10 percent owner 202 CARNEGIE CENTER, SUITE 109, PRINCETON NJ 08540
Rosemary A Crane director C/O CATALENT, INC., 14 SCHOOLHOUSE ROAD, SOMERSET NJ 08873