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Star Holdings (Star Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.16% (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Star Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Star Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.16%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Star Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Star Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Star Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Star Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Star Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Star Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.41

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.16%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Star Holdings  (NAS:STHO) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Star Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Star Holdings (Star Holdings) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » Real Estate » Star Holdings (NAS:STHO) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1114 Avenue of the Americas,, 39th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Star Holdings engages in non-ground lease-related businesses, including real estate finance, operating properties, and land and development. Its portfolio is comprised primarily of its interests in Asbury and Magnolia Green residential development projects, a portfolio of commercial real estate properties, and loans that are being marketed for sale. It focuses on realizing value for shareholders from the legacy portfolio primarily by maximizing cash flows through active asset management and asset sales.
Executives
Brett Asnas officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O ISTAR, 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FL. 39, NEW YORK NY 10036
Garett Rosenblum officer: CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER C/O ISTAR, 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, FL. 39, NEW YORK NY 10036
Marcos Alvarado officer: Vice President 591 WEST PUTNAM AVENUE, GREENWICH CT 06830
Richard J Lieb director, other: Member of Board of Trustees C/O GREENHILL & CO., INC.,, 300 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Clifford Desouza director, other: Member of Board of Trustees C/O ISTAR, 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036
Nina Matis director, other: Member of Board of Trustees 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 12TH FL, NEW YORK NY 10036
Jay Sugarman director, officer: President, other: Member of Board of Trustees 24301 WALDEN CENTER DR, BONITA SPRINGS FL 34134
Istar Inc. 10 percent owner 1114 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 39TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10036

Star Holdings (Star Holdings) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Star Holdings Reports First Quarter 2023 Results

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