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Surgery Partners (Surgery Partners) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of May. 27, 2024)


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What is Surgery Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Surgery Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Surgery Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, Surgery Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Surgery Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Surgery Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Surgery Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Surgery Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.07

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Surgery Partners  (NAS:SGRY) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Surgery Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Surgery Partners (Surgery Partners) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
340 Seven Springs Way, Suite 600, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Surgery Partners Inc is one of the few remaining independent ambulatory surgery center operators in the U.S. with national scale. The firm operates surgical facilities in approximately 30 states in partnership with physician groups and larger local healthcare systems. While surgical procedures drive a majority of the firm's revenue, the company also operates a clinical lab, urgent care facilities, and a handful of physician practices to provide additional healthcare services within the communities it serves. It operates in two segments: Surgical Facility Services and Ancillary Services out of which the Surgical Facility Services segment accounts for the majority of revenue.
Executives
Bain Capital Investors Llc director, 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Wayne S Deveydt director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 120 MONUMENT CIRCLE, INDIANAPOLIS IN 46204
T. Devin O'reilly director, 10 percent owner C/O BAIN CAPITAL PRIVATE EQUITY, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02149
Blair E Hendrix director, 10 percent owner
Andrew T. Kaplan director C/O BAIN CAPITAL PRIVATE EQUITY, LP, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Jason Eric Evans officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Harrison R. Bane officer: American Group President 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
David T Doherty officer: Chief Financial Officer 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Bradley R. Owens officer: National Group President 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Danielle Burkhalter officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Anthony Taparo officer: President, Atlantic Group 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Jennifer Baldock officer: Sr. VP, Gen Couns. & Sec. 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, SUITE 500, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Marissa Brittenham officer: Chief Strategy Officer 310 SEVEN SPRINGS WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Bain Capital Fund Xi, L.p. director, 10 percent owner JOHN HANCOCK TOWER, 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Bain Capital Partners Xi, L.p. director, 10 percent owner 200 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116