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Rithm Capital (Rithm Capital) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.06% (As of May. 31, 2024)


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What is Rithm Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Rithm Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.06%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Rithm Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Rithm Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Rithm Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Rithm Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Rithm Capital's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Rithm Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.48

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.06%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Rithm Capital  (NYSE:RITM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Rithm Capital Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Rithm Capital (Rithm Capital) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Rithm Capital Corp (NYSE:RITM) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Address
799 Broadway, New York, NY, USA, 10003
Rithm Capital Corp operates as a real estate investment trust that provides capital and services to the real estate and financial services industries. The company's mission is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns in all interest rate environments through a complementary portfolio of investments and operating businesses. Rithm Capital's investment portfolio is composed of mortgage servicing related assets (full and excess MSRs and servicer advances), residential securities (and associated call rights) and loans (including single family rental), and consumer loans.
Executives
Peggy Hwan Hebard director 5201 INTERCHANGE WAY, LOUISVILLE KY 40229
Philip M Sivin officer: Chief Legal Officer RESURGENCE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC, 10 NEW KING STREET, WHITE PLAINS NY 10604
Le Melle Patrice M director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Alan L. Tyson director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Andrew Sloves director 799 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003
Pamela F Lenehan director C/O AVID TECHNOLOGY, INC., ONE PARK WEST, TEWKSBURY MA 01876
Robert Mcginnis director 2002 SUMMIT BLVD., 6TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30319
Nicola Jr Santoro officer: CFO and Treasurer C/O FXCM INC, 55 WATER STREET, NEW YORK NY 10041
David Saltzman director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105
Michael Nierenberg director, officer: CEO and President 799 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10003
David Schneider officer: Chief Accounting Officer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Wesley R Edens director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 45TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Home Loan Servicing Solutions, Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O INTERTRUST CORP SERVICES CAYMAN LTD, 190 ELGIN AVENUE, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9005
Kevin J Finnerty director 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 46TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10105
Susan Givens officer: CFO and Treasurer 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105