Renewable Energy Group (Renewable Energy Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.00% (As of May. 05, 2024)

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What is Renewable Energy Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Renewable Energy Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Renewable Energy Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing subindustry, Renewable Energy Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Renewable Energy Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Renewable Energy Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Renewable Energy Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Renewable Energy Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-10.92

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Renewable Energy Group (NAS:REGI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Renewable Energy Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Renewable Energy Group (Renewable Energy Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Renewable Energy Group Inc (NAS:REGI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

416 South Bell Avenue, Ames, IA, USA, 50010

Website

https://www.regi.com

Renewable Energy Group Inc is a producer and refiner of biofuels in the oil and gas industry. The company's operations include acquiring feedstock, operating biorefineries, and marketing and distributing renewable fuels. Its operating segments include Biomass-based Diesel, Services, and Corporate and other. The majority of the company's revenue comes from the sale of biomass-based diesel. Geographically, it operates in the United States, Germany and Other Foreign countries of which the United States derived maximum revenue. At its biorefineries, natural fats, oils, and greases are converted into biofuels and renewable chemicals.

Executives

Stacey Orlandi	other: SVP, Manufacturing	C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Eric Bowen	officer: VP, Corp Bus Dev and Legal	C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Dylan Glenn	director	535 BROAD HOLLOW ROAD, SUITE B51, MELVILLE NY 11747
Niharika Ramdev	director	C/O XL HYBRIDS, INC., 145 NEWTON STREET, BOSTON MA 02135
Todd Samuels	other: Chief Accounting Officer	C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Chad Stone	officer: Chief Financial Officer	REG NEWCO, INC. 416 S. BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Cynthia J Warner	director, officer: President and CEO	1925 WEST FIELD COURT, SUITE 200, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Harding Peter John Martin	director	416 S. BELL AVE. AMES IA 50010
Richard Craig Bealmear	officer: Chief Financial Officer	1114 COLFAX STREET EVANSTON IL 60201
Jeffrey Stroburg	director	REG NEWCO, INC. 416 S. BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Christopher D. Sorrells	director	REG NEWCO, INC., 416 S. BELL AVENUE, AMES IA 50010
Todd Allen Robinson	officer: InterimChief Financial Officer	RENEWABLE ENERGY, INC. 416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE AMES IA 50010
Walter Z Berger	director	416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE, AMES IA 50010
Gary Haer	officer: VP, Sales and Marketing	416 SOUTH BELL AVENUE C/O RENEWABLE ENERGY GROUP, INC. AMES IA 50010
Michael M Scharf	director	12312 OLIVE BOULEVARD SUITE 400 ST. LOUIS MO 63141