GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Education » Quality Online Education Group Inc (OTCPK:QOEG) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Quality Online Education Group (Quality Online Education Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 20.26% (As of May. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2009. Start your Free Trial

What is Quality Online Education Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 20.26%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Quality Online Education Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.37

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=20.26%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Quality Online Education Group  (OTCPK:QOEG) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Quality Online Education Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Quality Online Education Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Quality Online Education Group (Quality Online Education Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
55 Commerce Valley Dr. West, Thornhill, ON, CAN, L3T7V9
Quality Online Education Group Inc is a e-Learning company that provides comprehensive online English lessons to students in China and expanding to other markets where English education is sought after. The company is a pioneer and industry leader in providing real-time online small group classes. The main business scope of the Group includes K12 English Online education services, courseware development and education-technology platform development. The students achieve noticeable and quantifiable results, by delivery of quality education from passionate team of teachers and teaching assistants, based in North America and the Philippines.
Executives
Amanda Anderson director UNITS 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR
Fu Kei Man Derek director 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR
Yin Yee Tso director, officer: Chief Operating Officer UNITS 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR
Wing Yee Tong 10 percent owner UNITS 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR
Lai Ying Li director, officer: Chairman, CEO, CFO and Sec. UNITS 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR
Wing Shan Tong 10 percent owner UNITS 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR
Yiu Kwong Pang director UNITS 2611-13A, 26/F, 113 ARGYLE STREET, MONGKOK, KOWLOON K3 SAR

Quality Online Education Group (Quality Online Education Group) Headlines

From GuruFocus

QOEG Announces B2B Partnership with Nova Pathway Immigration

By ACCESSWIRE ACCESSWIRE 08-16-2021