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PJT Partners (PJT Partners) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is PJT Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PJT Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of PJT Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Capital Markets subindustry, PJT Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PJT Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, PJT Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PJT Partners's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



PJT Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.46

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


PJT Partners  (NYSE:PJT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PJT Partners Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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PJT Partners (PJT Partners) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
280 Park Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10017
PJT Partners Inc is an advisory-focused investment bank that offers a portfolio of advisory services designed to help its clients achieve their strategic objectives. The company delivers a range of strategic advisory, capital markets advisory, restructuring and special situations, and shareholder advisory services to corporations, financial sponsors, institutional investors, and governments around the world. It also provides private fund advisory and fundraising services for alternative investment strategies, including private equity, real estate, hedge funds, and private credit. The company generates its revenue from advisory fees, placement fees, and others. Geographically, It generates a majority of its revenue from the United States.
Executives
Ji-yeun Lee officer: Managing Partner C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Helen T Meates officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kievdi Don Cornwell director C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Grace Reksten Skaugen director C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
David Adam Travin officer: General Counsel C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
James W Cuminale officer: General Counsel ONE PICKWICK PLAZA, GREENWICH CT 06830
Paul J Taubman director, officer: Chairman and CEO C/O MORGAN STANLEY, 1585 BROADWAY, NEW YORK NY 10036
Dennis S Hersch director 8000 WALTON PARKWAY, SUITE 100, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
James Costos director C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Thomas M Ryan director ONE CVS DR, WOONSOCKET RI 02895
Kenneth C Whitney director C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Emily K Rafferty director C/O PJT PARTNERS INC., 280 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10017
Kathleen Skero officer: See Remarks THE BLACKSTONE GROUP, 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Blackstone Holdings I/ii Gp L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O BLACKSTONE INC., 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154
Michael Chae officer: Chief Financial Officer 345 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10154