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Vaxcyte (Vaxcyte) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Vaxcyte Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Vaxcyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Vaxcyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Vaxcyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Vaxcyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Vaxcyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Vaxcyte's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Vaxcyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.36

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Vaxcyte  (NAS:PCVX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Vaxcyte Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Vaxcyte (Vaxcyte) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Vaxcyte Inc (NAS:PCVX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
825 Industrial Road, Suite 300, San Carlos, CA, USA, 94070
Vaxcyte Inc is a vaccine company seeking to improve global health by developing novel vaccines to treat patients suffering from the most common and deadly diseases. Its product comprises. of Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. The firm's product candidate consists of VAX-24, VAX-XP, VAX-A1, and VAX-PG.
Executives
Andrew Guggenhime officer: CFO, CBO C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, STE. 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Grant Pickering director, officer: President & CEO C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, STE. 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Mikhail Eydelman officer: SVP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SUITE 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Jim Wassil officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 353 HATCH DRIVE, FOSTER CITY CA 94404
Heath Lukatch director 326 BOLLAY DRIVE, GOLETA CA 93117
Elvia Cowan officer: See Remarks Section C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, SUITE 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Jeff Fairman officer: VP, Research C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, STE. 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Paul Sauer officer: SVP Process Dev, Manufacturing C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL DRIVE, STE. 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94404
Michael E. Kamarck director C/O UNILIFE CORPORATION, 250 CROSS FARM LANE, YORK PA 17406
Carlos V Paya director C/O IMMUNE DESIGN CORP., 1616 EASTLAKE AVE. E, SUITE 310, SEATTLE WA 98102
Harpreet S. Dhaliwal officer: SVP Cml Mfg & Supply Chain C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, STE. 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Anne S Drapeau director C/O IRON MOUNTAIN INCORPORATED, ONE FEDERAL STREET, BOSTON MA 02110
Teri Loxam director C/O SQZ BIOTECHNOLOGIES COMPANY, 200 ARSENAL YARDS BOULEVARD, SUITE 210, WATERTOWN MA 02472
Jane Wright Mitchell officer: General Counsel C/0 ACELRX PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 351 GALVESTON DRIVE, REDWOOD CITY CA 94063
Robert Lorne Hopfner director C/O BAY CITY CAPITAL, LLC, 750 BATTERY STREET, SUITE 400, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111