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PAR Technology (PAR Technology) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is PAR Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, PAR Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of PAR Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, PAR Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


PAR Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, PAR Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where PAR Technology's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



PAR Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


PAR Technology  (NYSE:PAR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


PAR Technology Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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PAR Technology (PAR Technology) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » PAR Technology Corp (NYSE:PAR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
PAR Technology Park, 8383 Seneca Turnpike, New Hartford, NY, USA, 13413-4991
PAR Technology Corp together with its subsidiaries provides management technology solutions including software, hardware, and related services, integral to the point-of-sale infrastructure and task management, information gathering, assimilation and communication services. It has two segments. Restaurant/ Retail segment provides point-of-sale and management technology solutions such as hardware, software and integrated technical solutions to the restaurant and retail industries. Government segment provides intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions and mission systems support. The company derives the majority of its revenues from the Restaurant/ Retail segment.
Executives
Douglas Gregory Rauch director 54 WILDE ROAD, WABAN MA 02468
Michael Anthony Steenberge officer: Chief Accounting Officer PAR TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION, 8383 SENECA TURNPIKE, NEW HARTFORD NY 13413
Cathy A King officer: VP, GEN COUNSEL & CORP SEC 5424 LAKE HOUSE ROAD, BRANTINGHAM NY 13312
Michael David Nelson officer: President of Subsidiary 747 GRAND WOOD CT., SPRINGBORO OH 45066
Raju Malhotra officer: CHF PRODUCT & TECH OFFICER 745 BROMFIELD RD, HILLSBOROUGH CA 94010
Narinder Singh director 4096 PIEDMONT AVENUE, #231, OAKLAND CA 94618
Keith Pascal director 1520 FOREST AVE., HIGHLAND PARK IL 60035
Sammon John W Jr director 8383 SENECA TURNPIKE, NEW HARTFORD NY 13413
Bryan A Menar officer: VP & Chief Financial Officer 8383 SENECA TURNPIKE, NEW HARTFORD NY 13413
Matthew R Cicchinelli officer: President, PGSC & RRC 8383 SENECA TURNPIKE, NEW HARTFORD NY 13413
Donald H Foley director, officer: President & CEO 8383 SENECA TURNPIKE, NEW HARTFORD NY 13413
Adam D Wyden 10 percent owner 1133 BROADWAY, SUITE 719, NEW YORK NY 10010
Adw Capital Management, Llc 10 percent owner 6431 ALLISON ROAD, MIAMI BEACH FL 33141
Adw Capital Partners, L.p. 10 percent owner 6431 ALLISON ROAD, MIAMI BEACH FL 33141
James C Stoffel director 101 KNOLLWOOD DRIVE, ROCHESTER NY 14618