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Plains GP Holdings LP (Plains GP Holdings LP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 14, 2024)


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What is Plains GP Holdings LP Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Plains GP Holdings LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Plains GP Holdings LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Midstream subindustry, Plains GP Holdings LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Plains GP Holdings LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Plains GP Holdings LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Plains GP Holdings LP's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Plains GP Holdings LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.58

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Plains GP Holdings LP  (NAS:PAGP) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Plains GP Holdings LP Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Plains GP Holdings LP (Plains GP Holdings LP) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Plains GP Holdings LP (NAS:PAGP) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
333 Clay Street, Suite 1600, Houston, TX, USA, 77002
Plains All American provides transportation, storage, processing, fractionation, and marketing services for crude oil, refined products, natural gas liquids, liquefied petroleum gas, and related products. Plains' assets span the United States and Alberta, Canada, but are heavily concentrated in the Permian Basin.
Executives
Willie Cw Chiang director, officer: Chairman & CEO 370 17TH STREET, SUITE 2775, DENVER CO 80202
Jeremy L. Goebel officer: EVP & CCO 333 CLAY STREET, SUITE 1600, HOUSTON TX 77002
Ellen Desanctis director 12326 OLD OAKS, HOUSTON TX 77024
Kevin S Mccarthy director C/O KAYNE ANDERSON CAPITAL ADVISORS, LP, 1800 AVENUE OF THE STARS, SECOND FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Gary R Petersen director 210 HEDWIG, HOUSTON TX 77019
Victor Burk director C/O ENERVEST MANAGEMENT PARTNERS LTD, 1001 FANNIN STREET, SUITE 800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Lawrence Michael Ziemba director 600 NORTH DAIRY ASHFORD, HOUSTON TX 77079
John T Raymond director THE ENERGY & MINERALS GROUP, 811 MAIN STREET, SUITE 4200, HOUSTON TX 77002
Alexandra Pruner director 1201 LAKE ROBBINS DRIVE, THE WOODLANDS TX 77380
Bobby S Shackouls director 5051 WESTHEIMER, STE 1400, HOUSTON TX 77056-5604
Chris Temple director 3953 MAPLE AVENUE, SUITE 180, DALLAS TX 75219
Emg Investment, Llc director, See Remarks 1401 MCKINNEY STREET, SUITE 1025, HOUSTON TX 77010
Robert V Sinnott director 1800 AVENUE OF THE STARS, 3RD FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Greg L Armstrong director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman & CEO
Harry N Pefanis officer: President & COO 333 CLAY STREET, STE 1600, HOUSTON TX 77002

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