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Pacific Ventures Group (Pacific Ventures Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 100.00% (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Pacific Ventures Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Pacific Ventures Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 100.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Pacific Ventures Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Food Distribution subindustry, Pacific Ventures Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Pacific Ventures Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Pacific Ventures Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Pacific Ventures Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Pacific Ventures Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=10.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=100.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Pacific Ventures Group  (OTCPK:PACV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Pacific Ventures Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Pacific Ventures Group (Pacific Ventures Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
117 West 9th Street, Suite 316, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90015
Pacific Ventures Group Inc is focused on expansion within the consumer products, food, beverage, and alcohol-related industries. Its customers range from a wide variety of restaurants, including many well-known in Southern CA, to institutions, schools, and re-distributors such as U.S. Foods and Sysco as well as to local distributors. It supplies wholesale food and restaurant supplies to San Diego, Los Angeles, Orange, and Riverside and offers same-day service. In addition, it has clients in Arizona and Colorado that come to its facility to pick up their orders.
Executives
Shannon Masjedi director, 10 percent owner, officer: PRESIDENT, COO, AND SECRETARY 117 WEST 9TH STREET, SUITE 316, LOS ANGELES CA 90015
Marc Shenkman director, officer: EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT 117 WEST 9TH STREET, SUITE 316, LOS ANGELES CA 90015
Robert Emmitt Smith director, officer: CHAIRMAN OF THE BOARD & CEO 117 WEST 9TH STREET, SUITE 316, LOS ANGELES CA 90015
Kent R. Sumner 10 percent owner 1248 BATEMAN PONDS WAY, WEST JORDAN UT 84084
Marion Philip Guthrie 10 percent owner THREE LINCOLN CENTRE, 5430 LBJ FWY., SUITE 1480, DALLAS TX 75240
Kip Eardley director, 10 percent owner, officer: President & Secretary P.O. BOX 901658, SANDY UT 84090