What is Cybercom Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%)?
Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Cybercom Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.00%.
Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.
Competitive Comparison of Cybercom Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%)
For the Information Technology Services subindustry, Cybercom Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Cybercom Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry
For the Software industry and Technology sector, Cybercom Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Cybercom Group AB's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.
Cybercom Group AB Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation
Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:
| LPFD | = | -20.12 * NIMTAAVG | + | 1.60 * TLMTA | - | 7.88 * EXRETAVG | + | 1.55 * SIGMA | - | 0.005 * RSIZE | - | 2.27 * CASHMTA | + | 0.070 * MB | - | 0.09 * PRICE | - | 8.87 |
| = | 0.00 |
The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:
| PFD | = | 1 | / | (1 + e^(-LPFD)) | * | 100% |
| = | 0.00% |
The eight explanatory variables are:
1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets
*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.
2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets
3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets
For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:
4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500
EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.
5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns
For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).
6. RSIZE = Relative Size
| RSIZE | = | log (Market Cap | / | Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies) |
7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio
8. PRICE
PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).
Cybercom Group AB (OSTO:CYBE) Business Description
Traded in Other Exchanges
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Cybercom Group AB is an information technology security consultancy firm. The company manages portals and provides electronic services to its customers. It offers a range of services available via mobile phone. The company also provides security, embedded systems, and telecom management. The company's portal services extend to web sites, extranets, intranets, communities, and mobile solutions. It analyzes a company's purpose, competition, target groups, services, and technical requirements before redesigning its portal. The company provides software solutions for media and electronic business. It maintains customer's portals and networks. Its mobile offerings are solutions for application, portal, payment, device management, internet advisory, use experience, and software office. For applications, it provides framework that provides development of mobile clients and support systems. The mobile portal solution creates a mobile equivalent of a customer's web site. The payment solutions include several payment services and methods. The device management offering facilitates distribution of content and firmware over the internet and over the air. The internet advisory services include consultation and support implementation of mobile strategies. It also provides extensive security offerings for a company intranet, portal, and networks. These products include identity and access management, IT forensics, and security verification. The company also handles physical hardware and computers.
Cybercom Group AB (OSTO:CYBE) Headlines
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