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NexPoint Residential Trust (NexPoint Residential Trust) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 23, 2024)


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What is NexPoint Residential Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, NexPoint Residential Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of NexPoint Residential Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Residential subindustry, NexPoint Residential Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


NexPoint Residential Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, NexPoint Residential Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where NexPoint Residential Trust's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



NexPoint Residential Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.71

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


NexPoint Residential Trust  (NYSE:NXRT) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


NexPoint Residential Trust Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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NexPoint Residential Trust (NexPoint Residential Trust) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
300 Crescent Court, Suite 700, Dallas, TX, USA, 75201
NexPoint Residential Trust Inc is an us-based real estate investment trust company. Its company's investment objectives are to maximize the cash flow and value of properties owned, acquire properties with cash flow growth potential, provide quarterly cash distributions, and achieve long-term capital appreciation for stockholders. The company seeks to achieve these objectives through targeted management and a capex value-add program. It focuses on acquiring multifamily properties in markets with attractive job growth and household formation fundamentals primarily in the Southeastern and Southwestern United States. The company generates revenue from the rental of multifamily properties.
Executives
Brian Mitts director, officer: See Remarks 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
James D Dondero director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Sauter Dennis Charles Jr officer: General Counsel 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Arthur B Laffer director 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Carol Swain director C/O NEXPOINT RESIDENTIAL TRUST, INC., 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Catherine D Wood director 200 CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1850, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33701
Matt Mcgraner officer: See Remarks 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Matthew Goetz officer: See Remarks 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors, L.p. 10 percent owner 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Edward N. Constantino director DLC REALTY TRUST, INC., 580 WHITE PLAINS ROAD, TARRYTOWN NY 10591
Scott F Kavanaugh director 25342 DERBYHILL DR., LAGUNA HILLS CA 92653
Nexpoint Advisors, L.p. 10 percent owner 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Scott Ellington officer: General Counsel and Secretary 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Nexpoint Diversified Real Estate Trust 10 percent owner 300 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 700, DALLAS TX 75201
Highland Capital Management Lp 10 percent owner 100 CRESCENT COURT, SUITE 1850, DALLAS TX 75201