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Nuvera Communications (Nuvera Communications) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.14% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Nuvera Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Nuvera Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.14%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Nuvera Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, Nuvera Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nuvera Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, Nuvera Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nuvera Communications's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Nuvera Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.57

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.14%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Nuvera Communications  (OTCPK:NUVR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Nuvera Communications Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Nuvera Communications (Nuvera Communications) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
27 North Minnesota Street, New Ulm, MN, USA, 56073
Nuvera Communications Inc is a communications company. It provides Internet, digital TV, voice, and managed services such as web hosting and design, online file storage and others. It generates its revenue in the form of local services, network access, video, data, A-CAM/FUSF, and others. The company operates in the Communications Segment. The Communications Segment consists of voice, data and video communication services delivered to the customer over fiber communications network.
Executives
Glenn Zerbe officer: CEO/President 27 NORTH MINNESOTA STREET, NEW ULM MN 56073
Craig Steven Anderson officer: Chief Business Development Off P.O. BOX 697, NEW ULM MN 56073
James J Seifert director C/O BEMIS CO INC, 222 S. 9TH ST. #2300, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55402
Skillings Colleen R. director 36 WOODLAND DRIVE, NEW ULM MN 56073
Duane Lambrecht director
Wesley E Schultz director PO BOX 2000, 3905 DAKOTA STREET SW, ALEXANDRIA MN 56308
Suzanne M. Spellacy director 108 ALEXANDER COURT, MANKATO MN 56001
Barbara A Bornhoft officer: Vice President
Perry Meyer director RR 3 BOX 130, NEW ULM MN 56073
James P Jensen director
Curtis O. Kawlewski officer: CFO 3710 REED ROAD, ST, BONIFACIUS MN 55375
Dennis Miller director 18930 JASMINE ROAD, MANKATO MN 56001
Bill D Otis officer: CEO/President
Patricia L Matthews officer: Assistant Secretary
Mary Ellen Domeier director

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