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Nu Ride (Nu Ride) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 3.95% (As of Jun. 07, 2024)


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What is Nu Ride Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Nu Ride's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 3.95%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Nu Ride's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Auto Manufacturers subindustry, Nu Ride's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nu Ride's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Vehicles & Parts Industry

For the Vehicles & Parts industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Nu Ride's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nu Ride's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Nu Ride Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-3.19

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=3.95%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Nu Ride  (OTCPK:NRDE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Nu Ride Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Nu Ride (Nu Ride) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2300 Hallock Young Road, Lordstown, OH, USA, 44481
Lordstown Motors Corp is an electric vehicle innovator developing high-quality light duty commercial fleet vehicles, with the Endurance all electric pick-up truck as its first vehicle being launched in the Lordstown, Ohio facility. The Company is in its final design and testing phase related to their production of the Endurance and has yet to bring a completed product to market.
Executives
Stephen S. Burns director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ADVANCED MECHANICAL PRODUCTS, INC., 4540 ALPINE ROAD, BLUE ASH OH 45242
Anderson Joseph B Jr director MERITOR, INC., 2135 WEST MAPLE ROAD, TROY MI 48084-7186
Edward T. Hightower officer: President C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Donna Bell officer: EVP, PROD CRTN, ENG & SUPP CHN C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Jane Ritson-parsons officer: CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Laura J. Soave director C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Daniel A Ninivaggi director, officer: CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER C/O ICAHN ENTERPRISES L.P., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 4600, NEW YORK NY 10153
Melissa A. Leonard officer: EVP, GEN. COUNSEL & SECRETARY C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Adam B Kroll officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 475 QUAKER MEETING HOUSE RD, HONEOYE FALLS NY 14472
Rebecca A Roof officer: Interim CFO C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Chuan D. Vo officer: Vice President of Propulsion C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Julio C. Rodriguez officer: Chief Financial Officer 315 CHELSEY CT., ALPHARETTA GA 30004
Darren Post officer: Vice President of Engineering C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Phil Richard Schmidt officer: Chief Production Officer C/O LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP., 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481
Shane Brown officer: Chief Production Officer 2300 HALLOCK YOUNG ROAD, LORDSTOWN OH 44481

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