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Mymetics (Mymetics) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 29.20% (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Mymetics Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Mymetics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 29.20%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Mymetics's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Mymetics's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Mymetics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Mymetics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Mymetics's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Mymetics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-0.89

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=29.20%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Mymetics  (OTCPK:MYMX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Mymetics Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Mymetics (Mymetics) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Biotechnology » Mymetics Corp (OTCPK:MYMX) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
c/o Mymetics SA, Route de la Corniche 4, Biopole Center, Epalinges, CHE, CH-1066
Mymetics Corp is a vaccine company and is focused on the research and development of next-generation vaccines for infectious and life-disabling diseases. Its vaccine candidates in the pipeline include HIV-1/AIDS, malaria, and Covid-19, and intranasal influenza, RSV, Chikungunyaand HSV vaccine candidate programs.
Executives
Marcel B. Ruegg director C/O MYMETICS CORPORATION, ROUTE DE LA CORNICHE 4 1066, EPALINGES V8 NA
Kempers Ronald Hugo Gerard officer: President, CEO, CFO ES GRANDS CHAMPS 12, DULLY V8 1195
Christopher S Henney director 10505 ROSELLE STREET, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Grant Pickering director, officer: President and CEO C/O VAXCYTE, INC., 825 INDUSTRIAL ROAD, STE. 300, SAN CARLOS CA 94070
Ulrich Burkhard director C/O MYMETICS CORPORATION, ROUTE DE LA CORNICHE 4 1066, EPALINGES V8 NA
Jacques Francois Martin officer: CEO 40 QUAI FULCHIRON, LYON I0 69005
Antonius Johannes Stegmann officer: CSO KONINGIN EMMAPLANTSOEN 6, RIJNSBURG P7 2231TZ
Ernest M Stern director 815 CONNECTICUT AVE, NW, SUITE 500, SEYFARTH SHAW LLP, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Thomas Staehelin director POSTFACH 2879, FROMER, SCHULTHEISS & STAEHELIN, BASEL V8 CH-4002
Sylvain Fleury officer: CSO CHEMIN DE VERDONNET 9, LAUSANNE V8 1010
Round Enterprises, Ltd. 10 percent owner C/O BACHMANN TRUST COMPANY LIMITED, FRANCES HOUSE, SIR WILLIAM PLACE, ST. PETER PORT X0 GY1 4EA
Mfc Bancorp Ltd 10 percent owner ROOM 2103 SHANGHAI MART TOWER, 2299 YAN AN ROAD WEST, CHANGNING DISTRICT, SHANGHAI F4 200336
Christian Rochet director, officer: CEO 14, RUE DE LA COLOMBIERE, NYON V8 1260
Robert Zimmer director, officer: vp corp development
Ernst Lubke director, officer: CFO 39, ROUTE D'ARZIER, ARZIER V8 CH-1273