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23andMe Holding Co (23andMe Holding Co) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 24.27% (As of May. 18, 2024)


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What is 23andMe Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, 23andMe Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 24.27%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of 23andMe Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Diagnostics & Research subindustry, 23andMe Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


23andMe Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Medical Diagnostics & Research Industry

For the Medical Diagnostics & Research industry and Healthcare sector, 23andMe Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where 23andMe Holding Co's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



23andMe Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.14

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=24.27%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


23andMe Holding Co  (NAS:ME) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


23andMe Holding Co Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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23andMe Holding Co (23andMe Holding Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
349 Oyster Point Boulevard, South San Francisco, CA, USA, 94080
23andMe Holding Co is a consumer-facing healthcare technology company, primarily involved in the sale of direct-to-consumer personal genome services, or PGS, through DNA collection kits shipped via mail. The company provides users access to reports summarizing estimated genetic ancestry breakdown, phenotypic trait reports, and various health predisposition and disease carrier reports. Its segment include Consumer and Research Services and Therapeutics. The company generates maximum revenue from the Consumer and Research Services segment.
Executives
Kathy L Hibbs officer: See Remarks C/O VIROLOGIC, 345 OYSTER POINT BLVD, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
William G Richards officer: Head of Therapeutics Discovery 160 KELLY AVE, HALF MOON BAY CA 94019
Richard H Scheller director C/O GENENTECH INC, 1 DNA WAY MS 49, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080-4990
Joseph Anthony Selsavage officer: Interim CFO 490 HILL STREET, APT 5, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94114
Kenneth J. Hillan officer: Head of Therapeutics C/O ACHAOGEN, INC., 7000 SHORELINE COURT, SUITE 371, SOUTH SAN FRANCISCO CA 94080
Evan Lovell director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 27 SOUTH PARK STREET, SUITE 200, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
Hernandez Sandra R Md director BLACKBAUD INC, 2000 DANIEL ISLAND DRIVE, CHARLESTON SC 29492
Paul D Johnson officer: VP, General Manager-Consumer 440 N BARRANCA AVE #3550, COVINA CA 91723
Tracy Keim officer: See Remarks 6107 ARROWROOT LANE, RANCHO PALOS VERDES CA 90275
Steven Lemon officer: Vice President, Engineering 1020 CHERRY AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95125
Steven J Schoch officer: See Remarks 2748 BUSH STREET, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94115
Frederick Mark Kohler officer: Vice President, People 1004 UNION STREET, ALAMEDA CA 94501
Sequoia Capital Global Growth Ii Principals Fund, L.p. 10 percent owner 2800 SAND HILL ROAD, SUITE 101, MENLO PARK CA 94025
Abeec 2.0, Llc 10 percent owner 171 MAIN STREET, SUITE 259, LOS ALTOS CA 94022
Anne Wojcicki director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O AJAX I HOLDINGS, LLC, 667 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10606

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