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Logan Ridge Finance (Logan Ridge Finance) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Jun. 01, 2024)


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What is Logan Ridge Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Logan Ridge Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Logan Ridge Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Logan Ridge Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Logan Ridge Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Logan Ridge Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Logan Ridge Finance's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Logan Ridge Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.77

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Logan Ridge Finance  (NAS:LRFC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Logan Ridge Finance Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Logan Ridge Finance (Logan Ridge Finance) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
650 Madison Avenue, 23rd Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Logan Ridge Finance Corp an externally managed non-diversified closed-end management investment company. Its investment objective is to generate both current income and capital appreciation through debt and equity investments. The company offers customized financing to business owners, management teams and financial sponsors for change of ownership transactions, recapitalizations, strategic acquisitions, business expansion and other growth initiatives.
Executives
Jennifer Kwon Chou director C/O THE GORES GROUP, 9800 WILSHIRE BOULEVARD, BEVERLY HILLS CA 90212
Patrick Schafer officer: Chief Investment Officer 650 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brandon Satoren officer: See Remarks 650 MADISON AVENUE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Edward J. Goldthorpe director, officer: CEO and President 650 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jason T Roos officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 23 SPRINGHURST ROAD, BEDFORD HILLS NY 10507
David Held officer: Chief Compliance Officer 650 MADISON AVENUE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
George Grunebaum director C/O ASHMORE INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT LTD., 61 ALDWYCH, LONDON X0 WC2B 4AE
Alexander Duka director 650 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Robert Herman Warshauer director 8 GOLDEN POND ROAD, WEST HARRISON NY 10604
Larry W. Carroll director C/O PARK STERLING BANK, 1043 EAST MOREHEAD STREET, SUITE 201, CHARLOTTE NC 28204
Alala Joseph B Iii director, officer: See Remarks C/O CAPITALA FINANCE CORP., 4201 CONGRESS STREET, SUITE 360, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Richard Wheelahan officer: Chief Compliance Officer C/O CAPITALA FINANCE CORP., 4201 CONGRESS STREET, SUITE 360, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Kevin A. Koonts officer: Chief Accounting Officer 4201 CONGRESS STREET, SUITE 360, CHARLOTTE NC 28209
Stephen A. Arnall officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O PARK STERLING BANK, 1043 EAST MOREHEAD STREET, SUITE 201, CHARLOTTE NC 28204
Markham Hunt Broyhill director 800 HICKORY BLVD. SW, LENOIR NC 28645

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