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Limbach Holdings (Limbach Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Limbach Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Limbach Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Limbach Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Building Products & Equipment subindustry, Limbach Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Limbach Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Construction Industry

For the Construction industry and Industrials sector, Limbach Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Limbach Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Limbach Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.22

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Limbach Holdings  (NAS:LMB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Limbach Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Limbach Holdings (Limbach Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
797 Commonwealth Drive, Warrendale, PA, USA, 15086
Limbach Holdings Inc is a commercial specialty contractor in the fields of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, plumbing, electrical, and building controls for the design and construction of new and renovated buildings, maintenance services, energy retrofits, and equipment upgrades. It operates in two segments namely General Contractor Relationships (GCR) and Owner Direct Relationships (ODR). The company generates maximum revenue from the GCR segment.
Executives
Jayme L. Brooks officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer 21211 NORDHOFF STREET, CHATSWORTH CA 91311
Michael M Mccann officer: Chief Operating Officer 797 COMMONWEALTH DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15086
Norbert W. Young director 31-35TH STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15201
Gordon G Pratt director, officer: President and CEO 1101 BRICKELL AVENUE, SOUTH TOWER, 8TH FLOOR, MIAMI FL 33131
Jay Sharp officer: President of Limbach 797 COMMWEALTH DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15086
Nicholas Angerosa officer: President of Harper 797 COMMWEALTH DRIVE, WARRENDALE PA 15086
Joshua Horowitz director 72-38 113TH STREET, APARTMENT 3L, FOREST HILLS NY 11375
Bacon Charles A. Iii officer: President and CEO 31-35TH STREET, PITTSBURGH PA 15201
Linda G Alvarado director 2140 LAKE PARK BOULEVARD, RICHARDSON TX 75080-2254
Laurel J Krzeminski director 585 WEST BEACH STREET, PO BOX 50085, WATSONVILLE CA 95076
1347 Investors Llc 10 percent owner 150 PIERCE ROAD, 6TH FLOOR, ITASCA IL 60143
Palm Global Small Cap Master Fund Lp director C/O PALM MANAGEMENT (US) LLC, 19 WEST ELM STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Bradley C Palmer other: Director by Deputization C/O PALM MANAGEMENT (US) LLC, 19 WEST ELM STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Palm Management (us) Llc director 19 WEST ELM STREET, GREENWICH CT 06830
Kingsway Financial Services Inc 10 percent owner 10 S. RIVERSIDE PLAZA, SUITE 1520, CHICAGO IL 60606