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Kilroy Realty (Kilroy Realty) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.05% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Kilroy Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kilroy Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.05%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kilroy Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the REIT - Office subindustry, Kilroy Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kilroy Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Kilroy Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kilroy Realty's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kilroy Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.67

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.05%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kilroy Realty  (NYSE:KRC) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kilroy Realty Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Kilroy Realty (Kilroy Realty) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Real Estate » REITs » Kilroy Realty Corp (NYSE:KRC) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
12200 West Olympic Boulevard, Suite 200, Los Angeles, CA, USA, 90064
Kilroy Realty is a premier owner and landlord of approximately 16 million square feet of office space across Los Angeles, San Diego, the San Francisco Bay Area, and greater Seattle. The company operates as a real estate investment trust.
Executives
John Osmond officer: EVP, Head of Asset Management C/O KILROY REALTY CORPORATION, 12200 WEST OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Michelle Ngo officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer C/O KILROY REALTY CORPORATION, 12200 W. OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Eliott Trencher officer: SVP, Chief Investment Officer C/O KILROY REALTY CORPORATION, 12200 W. OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Louisa Ritter director C/O KILROY REALTY CORPORATION, 12200 W. OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Jonathan Praw officer: SVP, Chief Investment Officer C/O KILROY REALTYCORPORATION, 12200 W. OLYNPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Merryl Elizabeth Werber officer: SVP, CAO & Controller 12200 W OLYMPIC BLVD STE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Stephen A Rosetta officer: EVP, Chief Investment Officer C/O KILROY REALTY CORPORATION, 12200 W. OLYMPIC BOULEVARD, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Jolie A. Hunt director C/O KLIROY REALTY CORPORATION, 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Michael L. Sanford officer: EVP, Northern California 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Peter B. Stoneberg director 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Gary R. Stevenson director 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
David Joshua Simon officer: EVP 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
A. Robert Paratte officer: See Remarks 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Justin William Smart officer: See Remarks 12200 W. OLYMPIC BLVD., SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064
Kilroy John B Sr director 12200 W OLYMPIC BLVD, SUITE 200, LOS ANGELES CA 90064

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