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KLDiscovery (KLDiscovery) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 47.48% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is KLDiscovery Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, KLDiscovery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 47.48%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of KLDiscovery's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Software - Application subindustry, KLDiscovery's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


KLDiscovery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, KLDiscovery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where KLDiscovery's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



KLDiscovery Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-0.10

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=47.48%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


KLDiscovery  (OTCPK:KLDI) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


KLDiscovery Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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KLDiscovery (KLDiscovery) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Software » KLDiscovery Inc (OTCPK:KLDI) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
9023 Columbine Road, Eden Prairie, MN, USA, 55347
KLDiscovery Inc is a provider of technology-enabled services and software to help law firms, corporations, government agencies, and consumers solve complex data challenges. The company is engaged in providing technology-based litigation support solutions and services.
Executives
Arjun Shah director C/O KLDISCOVERY INC., 8201 GREENSBORO DR., SUITE 300, MCLEAN VA 22102
Lauren Tanenbaum director C/O KLDISCOVERY INC., 8201 GREENSBORO DR., SUITE 300, MCLEAN VA 22102
Jonathan J Ledecky director C/O THE LEDECKY FOUNDATION, 901 - 15TH STREET, NW, SUITE 950, WASHINGTON DC 20005
Prior Lawrence B Iii director 10260 CAMPUS POINT DRIVE, M/S 1-4-1, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Ian Fujiyama director CARLYLE GROUP, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, SUITE 220S, WASHINGTON DC 20004
Cg Subsidiary Holdings L.l.c. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, SUITE 220 SOUTH, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004
Evan B Morgan director C/O PIVOTAL ACQUISITION CORP., C/O GRAUBARD MILLER, 405 LEXINGTON AVE, NEW YORK NY 10174
Donna S Morea director 214 N TRYON STREET, CHARLOTTE NC 28202
Dawn M. Wilson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O KLDISCOVERY, 8201 GREENSBORO DRIVE, SUITE 300, MCLEAN VA 22102
Krystina L. Jones officer: EVP, Global Sales & Marketing C/O KLDISCOVERY, 8201 GREENBORO DRIVE, SUITE 300, MCLEAN VA 22102
Richard J Williams director 125 HIGH STREET, 26TH FLOOR, BOSTON MA 02110
Greg Racz director, 10 percent owner, other: See remarks C/O OCTAVIAN GLOBAL PARTNERS, LLC, 650 MADISON AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Mgg Investment Group Lp director, 10 percent owner, other: See remarks ONE PENN PLAZA, 53RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10119
Ceof Ii Coinvestment (de), L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, SUITE 220 SOUTH, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004
Ceof Ii De I Aiv, L.p. 10 percent owner C/O THE CARLYLE GROUP, SUITE 220 SOUTH, 1001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, N.W., WASHINGTON DC 20004

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