GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances » Kimball International Inc (NAS:KBAL) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Kimball International (Kimball International) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jun. 10, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1990. Start your Free Trial

What is Kimball International Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Kimball International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-9.46

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Kimball International  (NAS:KBAL) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Kimball International Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kimball International's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kimball International (Kimball International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
1600 Royal Street, Jasper, IN, USA, 47546-2256
Kimball International Inc operates in the omnichannel commercial furnishing business. The company specializes in making furniture for the workplace, health, and hospitality markets. The workplace market area includes commercial, education, government, and financial segments and eBusiness. The company's furniture brand portfolio comprises Kimball, National, Interwoven, Kimball Hospitality, D'style, and Poppin.
Executives
Christopher M Robison officer: INTERIM PRESIDENT POPPIN C/O KIMBALL INTERNATIONAL, INC., 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47546-225
Willi Candra officer: Chief Digital & Info Officer C/O KIMBALL INTERNATIONAL, INC., 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47546-225
Timothy J Wolfe officer: EVP & CFO 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47546
Michael J. Roch officer: EVP, CCO, Workplace and Health C/O KIMBALL INTERNATIONAL, INC., 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47546
Kourtney L Smith officer: EVP 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47549
Darren S Gress other: CORPORATE CONTROLLER 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47549
Valerie R Love director 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47546
Timothy J Jahnke director 115 ANSLEY WAY, ROSWELL GA 30075
Susan B Frampton director 1600 ROYAL ST, JASPER IN 47549
Scott M Settersten director 1000 REMINGTON BLVD., SUITE 120, BOLINGBROOK IL 60440
Geoffrey L Stringer director 1600 ROYAL ST, JASPER IN 47549
Patrick E Connolly director 1600 ROYAL ST, JASPER IN 47549
Kimberly K Ryan director ONE BATESVILLE BOULEVARD, BATESVILLE IN 47006
Thomas J Tischhauser director 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47549
Michelle Rene Schroeder officer: EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER 1600 ROYAL STREET, JASPER IN 47549

Kimball International (Kimball International) Headlines

From GuruFocus

Kimball International, Inc. Declares Dividend

By GuruFocusNews GuruFocusNews 04-25-2022

Kimball International, Inc. Declares Dividend

By GlobeNewswire GlobeNewswire 04-25-2022

Kimball International Inc (KBAL) EVP & CFO Timothy J Wolfe Bought $54,950 of Shares

By GuruFocus Research GuruFocus Editor 11-19-2021

Kimball International, Inc. Declares Dividend

By Stock market mentor Stock market mentor 02-06-2023

Kimball International, Inc. Declares Dividend

By Marketwired Marketwired 10-25-2021

Kimball International, Inc. Declares Dividend

By Ds*** Ds*** 08-29-2022