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JRSIS Health Care (JRSIS Health Care) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 25.19% (As of Jun. 04, 2024)


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What is JRSIS Health Care Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, JRSIS Health Care's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 25.19%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of JRSIS Health Care's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Medical Care Facilities subindustry, JRSIS Health Care's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


JRSIS Health Care's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, JRSIS Health Care's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where JRSIS Health Care's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



JRSIS Health Care Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-1.09

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=25.19%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


JRSIS Health Care  (OTCPK:JRSS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


JRSIS Health Care Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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JRSIS Health Care (JRSIS Health Care) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
No. 19 Chang Yi Road, 3rd Floor, Building A, De Run Yuan, Chang Ming Shui, Wu Gui Shan, Zhongshan, CHN, 528458
JRSIS Health Care Corp is engaged in operating Jiarun Hospital, a private hospital with nearly 950 open beds. The Jiarun Hospital services in the areas of pediatrics, dermatology, ears, nose, and throat (ent), traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), ophthalmology, internal medicine dentistry, general surgery, rehabilitation science, gynecology, general medical services, and others. It also offers patient care and the sale of medicine in the areas of both Western and Chinese medical practices to the residents of Harbin.
Executives
Zhuowei Zhong director, 10 percent owner, officer: President 5 JUMEI BIG STREET, XIAOLAN TOWN, ZHONGSHAN CITY, GUANGDONG PROVINCE F4 528415
Zhifei Huang director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 3 FIVE ALLEY, DITANGKOU, PINGWANGGANGXIE, DATANG TOWN, SANSHUI DISTRICT, FOSHAN, GUANGDONG PROVINCE F4 528143
Zhuowen Chen director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 401 BUILDING 23, JIANGPAN NEW RESIDENTIAL QUARTERS, ZHONGSHAN CITY, GUANGDONG PROV F4 528401
Lihua Sun director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1ST-7TH FLOOR,IND & COMM BANK BLDG,, XINGFU ST, HULAN TOWN, HULAN DISTRICT, HARBIN F4 150599
Junsheng Zhang director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Chm of the Board 1ST-7TH FLOOR,IND & COMM BANK BLDG,, XINGFU ST, HULAN TOWN, HULAN DISTRICT, HARBIN F4 150599
Xuewei Zhang director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 1ST-7TH FL, IND & COMM BANK BLDG., XINGFU ST, HULAN TOWN, HULAN DISTRICT, HARBIN F4 150599
Yanhui Xing director A204, BLOCK 1, ZHUJIANG XUJING GARDEN, BANXUEGANG RD, LONGGANG DISTRICT, SHENZHEN F4 518000

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