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Investcorp India Acquisition (Investcorp India Acquisition) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.01% (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


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What is Investcorp India Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Investcorp India Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.01%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Investcorp India Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Shell Companies subindustry, Investcorp India Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Investcorp India Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Diversified Financial Services Industry

For the Diversified Financial Services industry and Financial Services sector, Investcorp India Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Investcorp India Acquisition's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Investcorp India Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.01%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Investcorp India Acquisition  (NAS:IVCA) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Investcorp India Acquisition Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Investcorp India Acquisition (Investcorp India Acquisition) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Elgin Avenue, PO Box 1111, Century Yard, Cricket Square, George Town, CYM, KY1-1102
Website
Investcorp India Acquisition Corp is a newly organized blank check company. It is formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses.
Executives
Manpreet Singh director C/O FOUNDER SPAC, 11752 LAKE POTOMAC DRIVE, ROCKVILLE MD 20854
Ice I Holdings Pte. Ltd. 10 percent owner CENTURY YARD, CRICKET SQUARE, ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Girish Vanvari director C/O INVESTCORP INDIA ACQUISITION CORP., ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Dean Clinton director, officer: Principal Financial Officer C/O INVESTCORP INDIA ACQUISITION CORP., ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Nikhil Kalghatgi director, officer: Principal Executive Officer C/O INVESTCORP INDIA ACQUISITION CORP., ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Rishi Kapoor director C/O INVESTCORP INDIA ACQUISITION CORP., ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Kunal Bahl director C/O INVESTCORP INDIA ACQUISITION CORP., ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102
Ashwini Asokan director C/O INVESTCORP INDIA ACQUISITION CORP., ELGIN AVENUE, PO BOX 1111, GEORGE TOWN, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1102

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