GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Independent Bank Corp (NAS:INDB) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Independent Bank (Independent Bank) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.09% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 1986. Start your Free Trial

What is Independent Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.09%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Independent Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.98

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.09%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Independent Bank  (NAS:INDB) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Independent Bank Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Independent Bank's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Independent Bank (Independent Bank) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2036 Washington Street, Hanover, MA, USA, 02339
Independent Bank is a bank holding company and the sole shareholder of its bank, the Rockland Trust Company. Rockland is a community-oriented commercial bank. The bank's revenue is derived from a wide array of banking services, including lending activities, acceptance of demand, savings, and time deposits, and investment management. Rockland has historically relied heavily on both organic growth and select merger and acquisition activity to drive growth. The bank's loan portfolio constitutes the bulk of the bank's total assets. Its borrowers consist mostly of small to medium-size businesses and consumers, most of which are made to its market area in eastern Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The bank's loan portfolio is predominantly in commercial loans.
Executives
John J Morrissey director C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Jeffrey J Tengel director, officer: Chief Executive Officer 1900 EAST NINTH STREET, CLEVELAND OH 44114
Lee C Powlus officer: Chief Tech & Operations Off. 850 MAIN STREET, BRIDGEPORT CT 06604
Patricia M Natale officer: General Counsel
Barry H Jensen officer: Chief Information Officer INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Mark J Ruggiero officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Scott Smith director 320 NORWOOD PARK SOUTH, NORWOOD MA 02062
Maureen A. Gaffney officer: Principal Accounting Officer C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Christopher Oddleifson director, officer: President and CEO
Eileen C Miskell director C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP, 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Edward H Seksay officer: General Counsel C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP, 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Robert D Cozzone officer: CFO and Treasurer C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Dawn Mugford officer: Chief Risk Officer C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Donna L Abelli director INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370
Gerard F Nadeau officer: Executive Vice President C/O INDEPENDENT BANK CORP., 288 UNION STREET, ROCKLAND MA 02370