Independence Contract Drilling (Independence Contract Drilling) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.81% (As of May. 20, 2024)

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What is Independence Contract Drilling Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Independence Contract Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.81%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of Independence Contract Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Oil & Gas Drilling subindustry, Independence Contract Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Independence Contract Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Oil & Gas Industry

For the Oil & Gas industry and Energy sector, Independence Contract Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Independence Contract Drilling's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

Independence Contract Drilling Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-4.81

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.81%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

Independence Contract Drilling (NYSE:ICD) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Independence Contract Drilling Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Independence Contract Drilling (Independence Contract Drilling) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Energy » Oil & Gas » Independence Contract Drilling Inc (NYSE:ICD) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

20475 State Highway 249, Suite 300, Houston, TX, USA, 77070

Website

https://www.icdrilling.com

Independence Contract Drilling Inc is engaged in providing land-based contract drilling services for oil and natural gas producers. The company constructs its own and operates a premium land rig fleet. It develops and assembles its ShaleDriller series rig which is used for the development of oil and gas properties. The company's customers for contract drilling services in the United States include oil and natural gas companies, independent oil and natural gas companies, as well as various small to mid-sized publicly traded and privately held oil and gas companies.

Executives

Brian Berman	director	20475 STATE HIGHWAY 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Msd Capital L P	10 percent owner	1 VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017-5407
Msd Credit Opportunity Master Fund, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Pcof Partners Lxxiii, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Private Credit Opportunity (non-eci) Fund, Llc	director, 10 percent owner	ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Michael S Dell	10 percent owner	C/O DELL INC., ONE DELL WAY, ROUND ROCK TX 78682-2244
Msd Energy Investments, L.p.	10 percent owner	ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Msd Partners, L.p.	director, 10 percent owner	ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
William Monroe	10 percent owner	C/O HIGIER ALLEN & LAUTIN, P.C., 2711 N. HASKELL AVE., SUITE 2400, DALLAS TX 75204
James Minmier	director	777 N.W. 63RD ST., OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73116
Daniel F Mcnease	director	2800 POST OAK BLVD, STE 5450, HOUSTON TX 77056-6127
Barrett Robert J. Iv	director	20475 STATE HIGHWAY 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070
Vincent J Cebula	director	1301 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, 34 TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Christopher Gleysteen	director	ONE VANDERBILT AVENUE, 26TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Scott A. Keller	officer: SVP - SALES AND MARKETING	20475 SH 249, SUITE 300, HOUSTON TX 77070