GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Healthcare » Healthcare Providers & Services » Yidu Tech Inc (HKSE:02158) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Yidu Tech (HKSE:02158) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of Jun. 08, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2021. Start your Free Trial

What is Yidu Tech Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Health Information Services subindustry, Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Healthcare Providers & Services Industry

For the Healthcare Providers & Services industry and Healthcare sector, Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Yidu Tech Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.85

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Yidu Tech  (HKSE:02158) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Yidu Tech Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Yidu Tech's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Yidu Tech (HKSE:02158) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
No.9 Building of Huayuan North Road, 8th Floor Health Work, Haidian District, Beijing, CHN
Yidu Tech offers healthcare Big Data. It is an AI cloud-based firm providing solutions and tools to aid in more informed decisions to drive better efficiency in clients' strategies. Its clients are hospitals, pharmaceutical, biotech and medical device firms, research institutions, insurance companies, patients, and regulators. It three business segments are: Big Data platform and solutions, which partners with hospitals and policymakers to drive better efficiency; life sciences solutions, which enables better probability of clinical trial success with less drug development time and cost; and health management solutions, which helps with patient management. The Big Data platform accounted for 33% of revenue, life science solutions 30%, and health management solutions 27%, in fiscal 2022.
Executives
Gong Yingying 2202 Interest of your spouse
Xu Jiming 2101 Beneficial owner
Brunei Investment Agency 2101 Beneficial owner
Gic Private Limited 2102 Investment manager
Sweet Panda Limited 2101 Beneficial owner

Yidu Tech (HKSE:02158) Headlines

No Headlines