GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Turtle Beach Corp (NAS:HEAR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Turtle Beach (Turtle Beach) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.04% (As of May. 17, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2010. Start your Free Trial

What is Turtle Beach Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.04%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Consumer Electronics subindustry, Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Turtle Beach Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-7.75

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.04%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Turtle Beach  (NAS:HEAR) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Turtle Beach Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Turtle Beach's Probability of Financial Distress (%) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Turtle Beach (Turtle Beach) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Turtle Beach Corp (NAS:HEAR) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
44 South Broadway, 4th Floor, White Plains, NY, USA, 10601
Turtle Beach Corp is gaming audio and accessory brand offering a broad selection of gaming headsets for Xbox, PlayStation, and Nintendo consoles, as well as for PC, Mac, and mobile/tablet devices. The company's portfolio includes gaming headsets, PC gaming headsets, PC gaming keyboards, PC gaming mice and other accessories which are distributed internationally in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, and Asia sold at thousands of storefronts, including retailers such as Amazon, Argos, Best Buy, GAME, GameStop, EB Games, Media Markt, Saturn, Target and Walmart. Geographically, it generates majority revenue from North America.
Executives
Cris Keirn officer: Interim CEO C/O TURTLE BEACH CORP, 44 SOUTH BROADWAY, 4TH FLOOR, WHITE PLAINS NY 10601
Katherine Lee Scherping director 6312 SOUTH FIDDLERS GREEN CIRCLE, SUITE 200 NORTH, GREENWOOD VILLAGE CO 80111
Terry Jimenez director TRONC, INC., 435 NORTH MICHIGAN AVENUE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Juergen M. Stark director, officer: See Remarks 100 SUMMIT LAKE DRIVE, SUITE 100, VALHALLA NY 10594
Julia Sze director C/O 3636 N. CENTRAL AVENUE, SUITE 1200, PHOENIX AZ 85012
Michelle D Wilson director C/O WORLD WRESTLING ENTERTAINMENT, INC., 1241 EAST MAIN STREET, STAMFORD CT 06902
Andrew Wolfe director 108 LEEWOOD CT., LOS GATOS CA 95032
William Z Wyatt director 240 26TH STREET, SUITE 3, SANTA MONICA CA 90402
John T Hanson officer: CFO, Treasurer and Secretary 11011 VIA FRONTERA, SUITE A/B, SAN DIEGO CA 92127
Lloyd Gregory Ballard director 2 TOWNSEND ST, #2-1003, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94107
William E Keitel director
Brian Stech director 910 W. LEGACY CENTER WAY, SUITE 500, MIDVALE UT 84047
Yie-hsin Hung director 30 HUDSON STREET, JERSEY CITY NJ 07302
Kelly Ann Thompson director 921 LINCOLN PL, PACIFICA CA 94044
Ronald Doornink director 3100 OCEAN PARK BLVD, SANTA MONICA CA 90405