The Hain Celestial Group (The Hain Celestial Group) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.18% (As of May. 22, 2024)

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What is The Hain Celestial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, The Hain Celestial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.18%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

Competitive Comparison of The Hain Celestial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, The Hain Celestial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

The Hain Celestial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Hain Celestial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Hain Celestial Group's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.

The Hain Celestial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD

-20.12 * NIMTAAVG

1.60 * TLMTA

7.88 * EXRETAVG

1.55 * SIGMA

0.005 * RSIZE

2.27 * CASHMTA

0.070 * MB

0.09 * PRICE

8.87

-6.31

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD	=	1	/	(1 + e^(-LPFD))	*	100%
	=	0.18%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG	=	Net Income	/	Market Total Assets
	=	Net Income	/	(Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA

Total Liabilities

Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA

Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities

Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE

log (Market Cap

Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio

MB	=	Market Cap	/	Adjusted Book Equity
	=	Market Cap	/	(Total Stockholders Equity + 0.1 * ( Market Cap - Total Stockholders Equity))

8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).

The Hain Celestial Group (NAS:HAIN) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.

The Hain Celestial Group Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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The Hain Celestial Group (The Hain Celestial Group) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » The Hain Celestial Group Inc (NAS:HAIN) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

HF1:Germany HF1:Germany

Address

4600 Sleepytime Drive, Co, Boulder, DE, USA, 80301

Website

https://www.hain.com

The Hain Celestial Group Inc makes better-for-you natural and organic food and personal-care products. Some of the company's majority-recognized U.S. brands (55% of fiscal 2022 sales) are Celestial Seasonings, Terra, Garden of Eatin', Sensible Portions, Greek Gods yogurt, and Earth's baby food. Hain also maintains several brands in the U.K. (26% of sales), such as Ella's Kitchen baby food, New Covent Garden soup, Linda McCartney's plant-based meats, Sun-Pat nut butter, and Hartley's jams and gelatins. Its products can be found in traditional grocery stores, natural foods supermarkets, specialty health stores, mass-market retailers, club warehouses, drugstores, convenience stores, restaurants, and e-commerce sites.

Executives

Dawn M. Zier	director	600 OFFICE CENTER DRIVE, FORT WASHINGTON PA 19034
Carlyn R. Taylor	director	5215 N. O'CONNOR BLVD., SUITE 2300, IRVING TX 75039
Wendy P Davidson	director, officer: President and CEO	2210 WEST OAKLAWN DRIVE, SPRINGDALE AR 72762
Steven R. Golliher	officer: Global Ch Supply Chain Officer	C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 4600 SLEEPYTIME DRIVE, BOULDER CO 80301
Lee A. Boyce	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 4600 SLEEPYTIME DRIVE, BOULDER CO 80301
Neil Campbell	director	C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 4600 SLEEPYTIME DRIVE, BOULDER CO 80301
Michael Ragusa	officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer	200 LIBERTY STREET, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10281
Mark L. Schiller	officer: President and CEO	C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Ameet Kumar	officer: SVP & Chief Accounting Officer	606 CANTERFIELD PKWY W, WEST DUNDEE IL 60118
Glenn W. Welling	director	610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Chris Bellairs	officer: EVP & Chief Financial Officer	2711 NORTH HASKELL AVENUE, SUITE 3400, DALLAS TX 75204
David Karch	officer: EVP & Chief Operating Officer	HARMAN INTERNATIONAL, 1101 PENNSYLVANIA AVE, NW, SUITE 1010, WASHINGTON DC 20004
Wolfgang Goldenitsch	officer: CEO, International	C/O THE HAIN CELESTIAL GROUP, INC., 1111 MARCUS AVENUE, LAKE SUCCESS NY 11042
Engaged Capital Llc	10 percent owner	610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 950, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660
Engaged Capital Co-invest Vi-d, L.p.	other: See Footnote 1	610 NEWPORT CENTER DRIVE, SUITE 250, NEWPORT BEACH CA 92660