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Fortive (Fortive) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of May. 22, 2024)


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What is Fortive Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fortive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fortive's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, Fortive's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Fortive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortive's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fortive Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.34

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fortive  (NYSE:FTV) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fortive Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fortive (Fortive) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Technology » Hardware » Fortive Corp (NYSE:FTV) » Definitions » Probability of Financial Distress (%)
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6920 Seaway Boulevard, Everett, WA, USA, 98203
Fortive is a diversified industrial technology firm with a broad portfolio of mission-critical products and services that include field solutions, product realization, health, and sensing technologies. The company serves a wide range of end markets, including manufacturing, utilities, medical, and electronics. Fortive generated roughly $5.8 billion in revenue and $1.4 billion in adjusted operating income in 2022.
Executives
Charles E Mclaughlin officer: SVP - Chief Financial Officer C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BOULEVARD, EVERETT WA 98203
Patrick K Murphy officer: Senior Vice President C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BOULEVARD, EVERETT WA 98203
Christopher M. Mulhall officer: VP - Chief Accounting Officer C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BLVD, EVERETT WA 98203
Stacey A. Walker officer: SVP - Human Resources C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BOULEVARD, EVERETT WA 98203
Eric Branderiz director 915 DEGUIGNE DRIVE, PO BOX 3453, SUNNYVALE CA 94088-3453
Alan G Spoon director, other: Chairman 1150 15TH ST NW, WASHINGTON DC 20071
Tamara S. Newcombe officer: President & CEO of PT 6920 SEAWAY BLVD., EVERETT WA 98203
Wright Iii Lassiter director 500 PLAZA DRIVE, C/O QUEST DIAGNOSTICS, SECAUCUS NJ 07094
Barbara B. Hulit officer: Senior Vice President C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BLVD, EVERETT WA 98203
Jonathan L Schwarz officer: VP-Corporate Development C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BOULEVARD, EVERETT WA 98203
James A Lico officer: President, CEO and Secretary
Peter C Underwood officer: SVP-General Counsel/Secretary 200 STATE STREET, BELOIT WI 53511
Olumide Soroye officer: President & CEO of IOS 6920 SEAWAY BLVD., EVERETT WA 98203
Steven M Rales director 2200 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, NW, SUITE 800W, WASHINGTON DC 20037
William W Pringle officer: Senior Vice President C/O FORTIVE CORPORATION, 6920 SEAWAY BOULEVARD, EVERETT WA 98203

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