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Fortrea Holdings (Fortrea Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 50.00% (As of May. 26, 2024)


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What is Fortrea Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fortrea Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 50.00%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fortrea Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Fortrea Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fortrea Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Fortrea Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fortrea Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fortrea Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=0.00

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=50.00%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fortrea Holdings  (NAS:FTRE) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fortrea Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fortrea Holdings (Fortrea Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8 Moore Drive, Durham, NC, USA, 27709
Fortrea Holdings is a late-stage contract research organization, or CRO, that provides comprehensive Phase I through IV clinical trial management, clinical pharmacology, and patient access solutions. The company works with emerging and large biopharma, medical device, and diagnostic companies to run their clinical trials as a functional-service provider, full-service provider, and offers hybrid trials. In 2023, Fortrea was formed as an independent, publicly traded company after LabCorp spun off its clinical development business, which it acquired via its purchase of Covance in 2015 for $6.1 billion. Fortrea has 19,000 staff members across 90 countries.
Executives
Thomas Pike officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O ACCENTURE, 161 N. CLARK STREET, 23RD FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60601
Peter M Neupert director 13920 SE EASTGATE WAY, STE 300, BELLEVUE WA 98005
Betty D Larson director GE HEALTHCARE TECHNOLOGIES INC., 500 W. MONROE, CHICAGO IL 60661
R Andrew Eckert director THREE RAVINIA DRIVE, ATLANTA GA 30346
Edward A Pesicka director 9120 LOCKWOOD BLVD, MECHANICSVILLE VA 23116
Amrit Ray director 60 LEVERONI COURT, NOVATO CA 94949
Amanda M. Warren officer: Chief Accounting Officer 8 MOORE DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27703
David Ross Smith director 251 BALLARDVALE STREET, WILMINGTON MA 01887
Van Der Vaart Sandra D director, officer: President and Secretary 531 SOUTH SPRING STREET, BURLINGTON NC 27215
Glenn A Eisenberg director, officer: Executive Vice President P O BOX 1017, CHARLOTTE NC 28201-1017
James S. Hanson officer: General Counsel 79 TW ALEXANDER DRIVE, 4501 RESEARCH COMMONS, SUITE 100, RESEARCH TRIANGLE PARK NC 27709
Laboratory Corp Of America Holdings 10 percent owner 358 S MAIN ST, BURLINGTON NC 27215
Jill G. Mcconnell officer: Chief Financial Officer 8 MOORE DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27703
Mark A. Morais officer: Chief Operating Officer 8 MOORE DRIVE, DURHAM NC 27703
Robert S. Pringle officer: Treasurer 531 SOUTH SPRING STREET, BURLINGTON NC 27215