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Fathom Holdings (Fathom Holdings) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.91% (As of Jun. 06, 2024)


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What is Fathom Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Fathom Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.91%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Fathom Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Real Estate Services subindustry, Fathom Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fathom Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Real Estate Industry

For the Real Estate industry and Real Estate sector, Fathom Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fathom Holdings's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Fathom Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-4.69

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.91%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Fathom Holdings  (NAS:FTHM) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Fathom Holdings Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Fathom Holdings (Fathom Holdings) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
2000 Regency Parkway Drive, Suite 300, Cary, NC, USA, 27518
Fathom Holdings Inc is a national, technology-driven, real estate services platform integrating residential brokerage, mortgage, title, insurance, and Software as a Service offerings to brokerages and agents by leveraging our proprietary cloud-based software, intelliAgent. The company has three reportable segments namely Real Estate Brokerage; Mortgage; and Technology.
Executives
Stephen H. Murray director C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 2000 REGENCY PARKWAY DRIVE, SUITE 300, CARY NC 27518
Scott N Flanders director PLAYBOY ENT., INC. - H. SHAPIRO, 680 N LAKE SHORE DRIVE, CHICAGO IL 60611
Joshua Harley director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, CARY NC 27511
Jennifer B. Venable director C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, RALEIGH NC 27511
Ravila Gupta director 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, CARY NC 27511
Glenn A. Sampson director C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, CARY NC 27511
Marco Fregenal director, officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, CARY NC 27511
Samantha Giuggio officer: Chief Broker Officer C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, CARY NC 27511
Christopher D. Bennett director C/O FATHOM HOLDINGS INC., 211 NEW EDITION COURT, SUITE 211, CARY NC 27511
Jeffrey H Coats director C/O AUTOBYTEL INC., 18872 MACARTHUR BLVD., SUITE 200, IRVINE CA 92612
David C. Hood director C/O GUNDERSON DETTMER, ONE MARINA PARK DRIVE, SUITE 900, BOSTON MA 02210