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Primis Financial (Primis Financial) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.11% (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Primis Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Primis Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.11%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Primis Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Primis Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Primis Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Primis Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Primis Financial's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Primis Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-6.82

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.11%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For banks, CASHMTA is measured as:


4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Primis Financial  (NAS:FRST) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Primis Financial Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Primis Financial (Primis Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6830 Old Dominion Drive, McLean, VA, USA, 22101
Primis Financial Corp is the bank holding company for Primis Bank, providing financial services to individuals and small and medium-sized businesses. Primis Bank offers a wide range of commercial banking services, it focuses on making loans secured majorly by commercial real estate and other types of secured and unsecured commercial loans to small and medium-sized businesses in a number of industries, as well as loans to individuals for a variety of purposes. Primis Bank offers a broad range of deposit products, including checking (NOW), savings, money market accounts and certificates of deposit.
Executives
Rickey Allen Fulk officer: EVP, President 1194 ELSOM MASCOT ROAD, MATTAPONI VA 23110
Charles A Kabbash director 308 EAST MARKET ST., CHARLOTTESVILLE VA 22902
Clinton Tyler Stafford officer: Pres Panacea Financial 4612 CLUB ROAD, LITTLE ROCK AR 72207
Susan B Williamson officer: EVP, Director of Reg Relations 32482 JENKINS MILL ROAD, FRANKLIN VA 23851
William Rand Cook director 4459 CROWN HILL ROAD, MECHANICSVILLE VA 23111
Robert Yates Clagett director 17017 RIVER AIRPORT ROAD, BRANDYWINE MD 20613
Eric Alan Johnson director P O BOX 517, URBANNA VA 23175
Matthew Alan Switzer officer: EVP, CFO 6830 OLD DOMINION DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22101
Jones Allen R Jr. director 304 MARCELLA ROAD, SUITE E, HAMPTON VA 23666
Garrett F L Iii director 268 CATHCHPENNY LANE, BOWLERS WHARF VA 22560
John Fitzgerald Biagas director 627 36TH STREET, NEWPORT NEWS VA 23607
Ann-stanton C Gore officer: EVP, Chief Marketing Officer 1700 WOODLAKE DRIVE, COLUMBIA SC 29206
Barry P Almond officer: EVP, Head of Retail/Marketing 14319 NICOLAY WAY, MIDLOTHIAN VA 23114
Deborah Diaz director 6830 OLD DOMINION DRIVE, MCLEAN VA 22101
Julia E Fredricks officer: EVP, Chief Risk Officer 11032 SLENDERLEAF DRIVE, GLEN ALLEN VA 23060