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Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (Crinetics Pharmaceuticals) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.03% (As of May. 28, 2024)


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What is Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.03%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Biotechnology subindustry, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Biotechnology Industry

For the Biotechnology industry and Healthcare sector, Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Crinetics Pharmaceuticals's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.22

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.03%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Crinetics Pharmaceuticals  (NAS:CRNX) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Crinetics Pharmaceuticals (Crinetics Pharmaceuticals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
10222 Barnes Canyon Road, Building No. 2, San Diego, CA, USA, 92121
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Inc is a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel therapeutics for rare endocrine diseases and endocrine-related tumors.
Executives
Stephen F. Betz officer: Chief Scientific Officer 10222 BARNES CANYON ROAD, BUILDING 2, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Dana Pizzuti officer: Chief Development Officer C/O CRINETICS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10222 BARNES CANYON ROAD, BUILDING 2, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Marc Wilson officer: See Remarks 6310 NANCY RIDGE DRIVE, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Richard Scott Struthers director, officer: See Remarks C/O CRINETICS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10222 BARNES CANYON ROAD, BLDG. #2, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Alan Seth Krasner officer: Chief Medical Officer C/O CRINETICS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10222 BARNES CANYON ROAD, BLDG. #2, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Vivaldi Coelho Rogerio director 225 SECOND AVENUE, WALTHAM MA 02451
Jeff E. Knight officer: Chief Operating Officer CRINETICS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10222 BARNES CANYON ROAD, BUILDING 2, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Matthew K Fust director C/O ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 60 LEVERONI COURT, NOVATO CA 94949
Perceptive Life Sciences Master Fund Ltd 10 percent owner C/O PERCEPTIVE ADVISORS LLC, 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003
Caren Deardorf director C/O MAGENTA THERAPEUTICS, INC., 100 TECHNOLOGY SQUARE, CAMBRIDGE MA 02139
James Hassard officer: Chief Commercial Officer 177 E COLORADO BLVD, STE 700, PASADENA CA 91105
Ajay Madan officer: Chief Development Officer C/O CRINETICS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC., 10222 BARNES CANYON ROAD, BLDG. 2, SAN DIEGO CA 92121
Camille L Bedrosian director C/O ULTRAGENYX PHARMACEUTICAL INC., 60 LEVERONI COURT, NOVATO CA 94949
Vivo Capital Fund Viii, L.p. 10 percent owner 505 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 200, PALO ALTO CA 94301
Perceptive Advisors Llc 10 percent owner 51 ASTOR PLACE, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10003